The final game of Week 13 pits Bo Nix, Courtland Sutton and the Denver Broncos (7-5) against Jameis Winston, Nick Chubb and the Cleveland Browns (3-8) on “Monday Night Football” (8:15 p.m. ET). on on ESPN). The Broncos, led by head coach Sean Payton, have thrived under their rookie QB Nix. He’s quietly put together a string of solid performances, throwing for more than 200 yards and two or more touchdowns in four of his last five games. Denver currently has a good lead for a playoff spot in Nix’s first year under center and is -170 on ESPN BET to make the playoffs.

Meanwhile, the Browns are all but out of any playoff conversations, but pulled off a surprising upset win over the Pittsburgh Steelers in Week 12 before a bye last week. Winston made it through the air, and despite finishing fourth in the AFC North, Cleveland has earned victories over the division’s top two teams. Are the Browns in for another surprise on Monday night?

Here’s everything you need to know to bet on the Browns-Broncos on Monday Night Football, plus Eric Moody’s favorite picks for the game.

Odds are current as of publication, courtesy of ESPN BET

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Game lines

Spread: Broncos (-6)
Money line: Broncos (-290), Browns (+240)
Over/Under: 42.5 points (above -110/below -110)

Distribution in the first half: Broncos -3.5 (-115), Browns +3.5 (-105)
First half moneyline: Broncos (-220), Browns (+170)
Brown’s total points: 23.5 (above -135/below +105)
Broncos total points: 17.5 (above even/below -130)

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The props

Passing by

Bo Nix’s total passing yards: 224.5 (above -110/below -120)
Zero total TDs passed: 1.5 (Over +120/Under -160)
Jameis Winston total passing yards: 224.5 (above -130/below even)
Winston’s total passing TDs: 1.5 (Over +150/Under -200)

Rush

Nick Chubb Total Rushing Yards: 59.5 (Over +110/Under -140)
Javonte Williams Total Rushing Yards: 34.5 (above -120/below -110)
Nix total rushing yards: 19.5 (above -115/below -115)

Reception

Courtland Sutton receiving total yards: 49.5 (Over -135/Under +105)
Jerry Jeudy receiving total yards: 59.5 (Over +110/Under -140)
David Njoku total receiving yards: 44.5 (above -125/below -105)
Elijah Moore total receiving yards: 39.5 (above -130/below even)
Devaughn Vele total receiving yards: 34.5 (above -105/below -125)

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Betting trends

Courtesy of ESPN Research

• The Broncos have played six straight games as favorites, including 5-0 ATS this season.

• The Broncos are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games and 3-0 ATS in their last three games.

• The Broncos are 6-0 ATS against teams with losing records this season.

• Jameis Winston is 15-9-1 ATS, an underdog with at least four points in his career. Since leaving the Buccaneers, he is 2-0 overall at this point, including a win as a 7.5-point home underdog against the Ravens in Week 8. The Browns are 8-4-1 ATS when they get at least four points under Kevin Stefanski.

• The Browns are 2-7 ATS in their last nine Monday Night Football games (1-3 ATS under Kevin Stefanski).

• The Broncos’ first-half overs are 10-2 this season, the second-best record in the NFL (Panthers: 10-1).

• The Browns’ team record is 9-2 from the under this season, the highest under percentage in the NFL.

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Eric Moody’s tips

Courtland Sutton for 59.5 yards

This feels like a powerful piece. He has reached that number in five straight games, averaging 9.6 goals and hitting 75% of them in that span. The chemistry between Sutton and quarterback Bo Nix was undeniable, and now they face a Browns defense that allows the eighth-most receiving yards per game to wide receivers. With his consistency and workload, Sutton is well positioned to reach that mark again.

Nick Chubb under 59.5 rushing yards

He hasn’t reached that mark in any game this season, averaging just 14.6 carries and a dismal 3.1 yards per attempt. The matchup doesn’t help either – the Broncos’ defensive front ranks 13th in run-stopping win rate and allows the sixth-fewest rushing yards per game to running backs. This isn’t the place for Chubb to break out, so I’ll accept the under.

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