The final game of Week 17 includes playoff and seeding implications for one team, while the other team looks to pull off an upset in an NFC title game rematch on “Monday Night Football.”

The Detroit Lions (13-2) are in second place in the NFC North after Sam Darnold and the Minnesota Vikings defeated the Green Bay Packers on Sunday and secured first place for the time being. The Lions face the Vikings next Sunday night in a matchup for the division title. First, however, they must prevail against a San Francisco 49ers team that is looking forward to the offseason but may be motivated to pull off an upset win on Monday night.

Lions quarterback Jared Goff has been playing at an MVP level recently, throwing for 336 yards and three touchdowns without an interception in a 34-17 win over the Chicago Bears last week. Jahmyr Gibbs rushed for 109 yards on 29 carries to lead Detroit while David Montgomery was out. Jameson Williams also had a big game with five receptions for 143 yards and a touchdown.

Meanwhile, the 49ers suffered a 29-17 loss to the Miami Dolphins in Week 16. Brock Purdy still had a good game, throwing for 313 yards and two touchdowns, while George Kittle had 106 yards through the air on eight catches.

The action at Levi’s Stadium begins at 8:15 p.m. ET on ESPN/ABC/ESPN+.

Odds are current as of publication, courtesy of ESPN BET

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Game lines

Spread: Lions -3.5 (Open Lions -3.5)
Money line: Lions (-190), 49ers (+160)
Over/Under: 50.5 (open 51.5)

Distribution in the first half: Lions -2.5 (-120), 49ers +2.5 (-110)
First half money line: Lions (-150), 49ers (+120)
Lions total points: 26.5 (above -130/below even)
49ers total points: 23.5 (above -105/below -125)

Matchup Predictor (according to ESPN Analytics): Lions by 4.5 (60.8% chance of winning)

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The props

Passing by

Jared Goff’s total passing yards: 249.5 (above -120/below -110)
Goff’s total passing touchdowns: 1.5 (above -210/below +160)
Brock Purdy’s total passing yards: 249.5 (above -125/below -105)
Purdy’s total passing touchdowns: 1.5 (above -120/below -110)

Rush

Jahmyr Gibbs total rushing yards: 89.5 (Over -135/Under +105)
Isaac Guerendo Total Rushing Yards: 59.5 (Over -135/Under +105)

Reception

Amon-Ra St. Brown Total reception yards: 69.5 (above -140/below +110)
Jauan Jennings total receiving yards: 69.5 (Over +110/Under -140)
George Kittle’s total receiving yards: 69.5 (above -115/below -115)
Jameson Williams total receiving yards: 49.5 (above -130/below even)
Deebo Samuel total receiving yards: 49.5 (above -110/below -120)
Sam LaPorta total receiving yards: 44.5 (above -110/below -120):
Tim Patrick receiving total yards: 29.5 (above even/below -130)
Gibbs total receiving yards: 29.5 (above even/below -130)

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Daniel Dopp’s choice

Jahmyr Gibbs 30-plus receiving yards (-105)

Gibbs was extremely involved in his fourth game without David Montgomery since 2023 against the Chicago Bears. In Week 16, Jah totaled 150 yards, including four catches for 45 yards. In fact, he has had eight games with at least 28 receiving yards this season, and in his last three games without Monty, he has topped at least 37 receiving yards. Jahmyr hasn’t let up for a second despite the increased workload, and there are plenty of reasons to believe that will continue in Week 17 against the 49ers.

Not only is this a potential game for the NFC’s No. 1 seed, the Lions will have to continue to rely on their offense to win games since their defense is so strong. The 49ers have given up at least 27 receiving yards to seven different running backs this season, and most of those guys don’t have the same top-end speed or explosive big-play ability as Gibbs (De’Von Achane is the next best Competitor). who reached this line). Gibbs will have plenty to do again as the Lions lean on him in both the running and passing games here in Week 17. — Double

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Betting trends

Courtesy of ESPN Research

• The Lions are 45-21 ATS in the Dan Campbell era, 5.5 games better than any other team in that span (since 2021). They are 23-10 ATS on the road and 10-3 ATS as away favorites under Campbell. The Lions are 6-1 ATS on the road this season.

• The 49ers have not been home underdogs since Week 7 in 2022 (+1 vs. the Chiefs). They were the favorite in 22 straight home games, making them the second-longest active streak in the NFL (Bills 33, Chiefs 22). They have not been at least a 3-point underdog at home since Week 10 in 2021 (+3.5 vs. Rams). This is the first time Brock Purdy is a home underdog. He is 0-2 ATS as an underdog, including playoffs (0-1 ATS in the regular season).

• The Overs are 8-0 following the 49ers’ losses this season.

• The 49ers are 1-8 ATS against teams with winning records this season. The Lions are 6-1 ATS against teams with losing records.

• The 49ers are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games.

• Each of the last four times the Lions played with totals in the 50s, the game went over the total. It is the eighth Lions game this season with a total over 50, the most in the NFL.

• Three straight Lions games have exceeded the total.

• The 49ers are 0-3 ATS with extra rest this season. The Lions are 12-4 ATS under Dan Campbell.

• The home underdogs are 1-6 ATS on Monday Night Football this season.

• The Lions are 9-2 overall and 8-3 ATS in prime time games under Dan Campbell.

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