The Houston Texans (7-5) and Jacksonville Jaguars (2-9) meet on Sunday. Kickoff at EverBank Stadium is scheduled for 1:00 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s 24/7 NFL odds Texans vs Jaguars oddsand meet our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Texans have lost 3 of their last 4 games but maintain a 2-game lead in the AFC South. As 8-point home favorites, they lost 32-27 to the Tennessee Titans in Week 12. QB CJ Stroud finished 20 of 33 for 247 yards, with 2 TDs and 2 INTs.

The Jaguars return from a bye in Week 13 looking to end a four-game losing streak. Their last game was a 52-6 loss to the Detroit Lions in Week 11, where they failed to cover the 14-point underdog as the over (47.5) went into the money. QB Mac Joness, starts for the injured QB Trevor Lawrencewent 17 of 29 for 138 yards with 1 INT. Jacksonville is last in the AFC South.

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Texans vs. the Jaguars

Powered by BetMGM Sportsbook; Visit the USA TODAY sports scores and sports betting hub for a complete list of NFL odds. Lines were last updated on Saturday at 6:55 p.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Texans -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | Jaguars +155 (bet $100 to win $155)
• Against the Spread (ATS): Texans -3.5 (-110) | Jaguars +3.5 (-110)
• Over/Under (O/U): 44 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Key Texans injuries at Jaguars

Texan

• DT Foley Fatukasi (foot) out
• S Jalen Pitre (foot) out
• WR Xavier Hutchinson (shoulder) questionable

Jaguars

• L.B Yasir Abdullah (shin bone) questionable
• QB Trevor Lawrence (thigh) questionable

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Texans at Jaguars tips and predictions

forecast

Texans 35, Jaguars 13

Money line

HAPPEN.

The Texans (-190) will do their business in Jacksonville, but I’d rather bet they cover the spread than put almost two units on the money line.

Against the spread

BET TEXANS -3.5 (-110).

I’m surprised to see the line shifting in Jacksonville’s favor, especially after the blowout loss to Detroit before the bye. Bettors appear to be hoping for a Jaguars rebound considering Lawrence’s likely return and their competitive performance against Houston in Week 4.

However, the Texans desperately need this win to get back on track after losing three of their last four games. Houston is fully healthy and has one of the best offensive duos in the league at RB Joe Mixon and W.R Nico Collins. The Texans have covered in 2 of their last 3 games and should hold on against a Jaguars team that is now playing for pride.

Expect the Texans to reassert themselves as AFC contenders with a decisive win on Sunday.

Over/Under

BET OVER 44 (-110)

The total is 44, which is conveniently the same as the 24-20 scoreline from the first meeting, but I’m looking beyond that. Jacksonville has reached the over in 6 of its last 7 games while Houston is 2-0-1 against the over in its last 3 games.

Stroud and the Texans will get there, even with Mixon leading the ground game. Given Jacksonville’s NFL-worst pass defense (278.3 yards per game), Stroud should take advantage of their secondary and connect with Collins on at least one deep shot.

The Jaguars are also allowing 28.7 PPG, second-worst in the league, and have given up 30.7 PPG in their last three games. With Houston primed for a big offensive performance, Jacksonville only needs 10-13 points to surpass that point total. Expect fireworks in this game.

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