SL’s batting vs SA’s bowling, with crucial WTC points at stake

SL’s batting vs SA’s bowling, with crucial WTC points at stake

It couldn’t be more delicious. South Africa and Sri Lanka will face each other in the de facto quarter-finals of the World Test Championship (WTC) in the next two weeks. Both believe they have built teams that could challenge for the title next June.

If that sounds obviously optimistic, think about who we’re talking about. In the last two WTC cycles, South Africa lost more than half of the series they participated in, while Sri Lanka finished in the middle and bottom half of the points table. These are teams that, particularly recently, have spent a lot of time talking about transition phases and building blocks. Now it sounds like they’re ready to leave the ground floor and possibly take the elevator to the roof if they make it to Lord’s next June.

Both captains described their current teams as “the best we’ve had in a long time”, as Dhananjaya de Silva put it, but for completely different reasons. For Sri Lanka, who have won six of their last eight Tests and have passed 400 four times during that period, they have the makings of a batting line-up they can trust in a variety of conditions and the numbers to prove it.
Kamindu Mendis is Sri Lanka’s top run-scorer this WTC cycle and seventh overall, while Dhananjaya is 11th with three hundred-six fifties. For comparison, South Africa only has one batsman in the top 40, and he is ranked 39th: David Bedingham. Mendis also leads the averages for this edition of the WTC (with a cut-off of 10 innings), with Dhananjaya in fifth place. Together they scored eight of Sri Lanka’s eleven hundredths; The other three come from three different players. Mendis’ hundreds came in Sylhet, Manchester and Galle, testament to the ability to transfer talent anywhere, where Dhananjaya described it as increasingly difficult conditions for run-scoring.

“It’s hard to get runs anywhere in the world,” he said. “When you go to Sri Lanka, it spins. And if we go to England, things will go wrong. When we come here (to South Africa) it will be hopping. It is always hard work for the batsman. But we did it.” I have some experience, people who have played a lot of cricket here, a lot of cricket in Sri Lanka. So we are a mixed team. This is the best team after a long time and we have to make the best of it.”

South Africa has something similar, not necessarily in numbers but in the sources of its successes, which come from a wide range of players. The seven hundreds they have scored in this cycle have each come from a different batter and five of them have come from batters who have scored hundreds for the first time. For a lineup devoid of standout superstars (and one could argue has been overly reliant on Dean Elgar recently, but before that on AB de Villiers and Hashim Amla) this shows progress in both domestic depth and their ability to achieve promotion.

“We had different players who performed,” said Temba Bavuma. “Younger guys have come into this area and started to perform. As I am an experienced player, it gives me great pleasure to see the young boys come into the team and I try to help them become the best they can be.
It probably won’t be a surprise to hear that what South Africa lacks in batting they make up for in their bowling. Kagiso Rabada sits at the top of the bowling averages among bowlers who have bowled more than 100 balls this cycle, with Keshav Maharaj not too far behind. Overall, South Africa has the second lowest bowling average of this WTC at 24.13. Yes, Rabada is making headlines here, but for good reason. His career wickets of 313 are just 16 fewer than Sri Lanka’s entire six-man attack and let’s not forget that he always had strong support. This time it is not Lungi Ngidi and Anrich Nortje, but Marco Jansen and Gerald Coetzee who are among the fastest.

All of this makes the battle lines clear: this series will be decided by how Sri Lanka’s batters handle South Africa’s attack, even on surfaces that are not expected to be overly seamer-friendly. Given the way they played in England, where they won at The Oval, Sri Lanka have every reason to believe that they can challenge South Africa at two venues where they have previously enjoyed success. “We didn’t have a bad series in England but we didn’t like the results. We played good cricket and pushed the England team,” said Dhananjaya. “We will push the South African team until the end.”

And South Africa also have reason for confidence after winning their first series in the subcontinent in 10 years last month as they continue to believe in a group of players who will form the core of the Test team’s future. “There are no new faces in this series so we have definitely settled in as a team and the boys are very comfortable with each other,” Bavuma said. “It was about putting together this team of personalities, guys who can actually do something special for the team. I have the feeling that something special can emerge from this team. And I think we still have four or five games left.” Do that somehow.

Four? Absolutely, because that’s how many games South Africa and Sri Lanka still have to play in this cycle.

Five? Whoever wins at least one of the next two races can realistically dream of this finale next year.

Let the testing summer begin.

With statistical input from S Rajesh and Shiva Jayaraman

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