As the 2024 NCAA Women’s Volleyball Tournament approaches, NCAA digital reporter Michella Chester takes a close look at potential first-round upsets. Data from ESPN’s Bracket Challenge Game shows several matchups where teams with lower seeds could surprise their opponents with higher seeds.

Hawaii vs. No. 5 TCU

HAWAII DOES IT AGAIN 🌈@HawaiiWVB defeated Cal Poly in four sets and won the @BigWestSports Conference Championship and secure their AQ bid for the NCAA tournament!#NCAAWVB pic.twitter.com/IgApJkED51

— NCAA Women’s Volleyball (@NCAAVolleyball) December 1, 2024

Nearly 20% of groups predict Hawaii will triumph over TCU. Both teams rely heavily on standout players – Melanie Parra for TCU and Caylen Alexander for Hawaii. The outcome may depend on which star delivers a stronger performance or which supporting cast steps up if both are kept under control.

Illinois vs. No. 8 UNI

The most favored surprise: More than 50% of the groups picked Illinois to beat UNI. Illinois has a dynamic leader in Raina Terry who brings experience from competing in the impressive Big Ten. The Illini’s season included a notable upset against USC, demonstrating the ability to challenge top teams.

NC State vs. No. 6 Florida

More than 15% of groups expect NC State to beat Florida. The Wolfpack closed the regular season with a win over SMU, while the Gators had inconsistency, including two losses at the end of conference play. This sets the stage for a possible surprise.

Washington vs. No. 7 LMU

About 48% of fans favor a Washington win against Loyola Marymount. The Huskies’ roster is comprised of veteran players with considerable experience, highlighted by notable wins over Oregon and Minnesota this season. Her Big Ten background could give her an advantage in this matchup.

South Dakota State vs. No. 8 Miami (Florida)

More than 10% of respondents predict South Dakota State will upset Miami. Miami’s season was marked by high points – such as wins over top-five teams – and low points, including unexpected losses to Wright State, Ohio State and NC State. This inconsistency opens the door for the Jackrabbits to capitalize on it.

Ole Miss vs. No. 7 Florida State

Ole Miss beats Florida State in more than 20% of games. Ole Miss recently pushed Texas to a five-set match to close the regular season, demonstrating its potential to challenge tough opponents.

Tennessee vs. No. 7 Georgia Tech

Over 25% of groups are picking Tennessee to upset Georgia Tech. This selection could be influenced by Tennessee’s success in last year’s tournament and standout performances from players like Nina Cajic, who has recorded games with over 40 kills this season, and setter Caroline Kerr.

These matchups represent fans’ favorite first-round surprise picks. As the tournament continues, it will be exciting to see which of these predictions come true.