The NFL playoff race is heading into Thanksgiving and here’s how the playoff picture is shaping up ahead of Thanksgiving games in Week 13:

NFC playoff picture

DEPARTMENT HEAD
1. Detroit Lions (10-1): 1-game lead in NFC North.

2. Philadelphia Eagles (9-2): 2.5 games ahead in the NFC East.

3. Seattle Seahawks (6-5): Own the head-to-head tiebreaker against the Falcons and Cardinals.

4. Atlanta Falcons (6-5): One game ahead in the NFC South.

WILD CARDS
5. Minnesota Vikings (9-2): Lost at home to the Lions.

6. Green Bay Packers (8-3): Home loss to the Lions and Vikings.

7. Washington Commanders (7-5): They need to reverse their recent deficit.

FROM THE OUTSIDE LOOKS IN
8. Arizona Cardinals (6-5): The loss to the Seahawks on Sunday was big.

9. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-6): Own the NFC record tiebreaker over the Rams.

10. Los Angeles Rams (5-6): Winner in the direct tiebreaker against the 49ers.

11. San Francisco 49ers (5-6): The preseason NFC favorites are in danger of missing the playoffs.

12. New Orleans Saints (4-7): Two games in division.

13. Chicago Bears (4-7): Deep in last place in the NFC North.

14. Dallas Cowboys (4-7): Thanksgiving against the Giants looks like a turkey.

15. Carolina Panthers (3-8): Playing much better football lately.

16. New York Giants (2-9): Worst team in the NFC.

AFC playoff picture

DEPARTMENT HEAD
1. Kansas City Chiefs (10-1): The reigning champions are at the top of the conference.

2. Buffalo Bills (9-2): If they can catch the Chiefs in the standings, they will be in the direct tiebreaker.

3. Pittsburgh Steelers (8-3): The straight win against the Ravens was great.

4. Houston Texans (7-5): They’re not playing well, but they should win the AFC South by default.

WILD CARDS
5. Baltimore Ravens (8-4): Big win over the Chargers on Monday night.

6. Los Angeles Chargers (7-4): Big loss to the Ravens on Monday night.

7. Denver Broncos (7-5): Bo Nix has given them a two-game lead in the wild-card race.

FROM THE OUTSIDE LOOKS IN
8. Miami Dolphins (5-6): With Tua Tagovailoa healthy, they are playing like playoff contenders.

9. Indianapolis Colts (5-7): Catching the Texans in the AFC South will be a long road.

10. Cincinnati Bengals (4-7): They will probably have to play through the standings to get into the playoffs.

11. Cleveland Browns (3-8): Deshaun Watson has dug a hole that Jameis Winston can’t get the Browns out of.

12. New York Jets (3-8): Aaron Rodgers’ experience is trending toward disaster.

13. Tennessee Titans (3-8): A big upset over the Texans on Sunday.

14. New England Patriots (3-9): Drake Maye is promising, but this team is far from competitive.

15. Jacksonville Jaguars (2-9): Doug Pederson is in the hot seat.

16. Las Vegas Raiders (2-9): Antonio Pierce is in the hot seat.

Crucial scenarios

Buffalo Bills (9-2) vs. San Francisco 49ers (5-6); Sunday night, 8:20 p.m. ET, NBC

Buffalo takes home the AFC East Division title:

1. BUF win + MIA loss

Kansas City Chiefs (10-1) vs. Las Vegas Raiders (2-9); Friday, 3:00 p.m. ET, Prime Video

Kansas City secures a playoff spot with:

1. KC win + MIA loss or draw
2. KC win + DEN loss
3. KC win + LAC loss + DEN draw
4. KC draw + MIA loss

NFC

Detroit Lions (10-1) vs. Chicago Bears (4-7); Thursday, 12:30 p.m. ET, CBS

Detroit secures a playoff spot with:

1. DET win + SF loss or draw + ARI loss or draw + SEA loss + TB loss or draw
2. DET win + SF loss or draw + ARI loss + SEA draw + TB loss or draw
3. DET win + SF loss or draw + ARI loss or draw + SEA loss + WAS loss or draw + ATL loss
4. DET win + SF loss or draw + ARI loss or draw + SEA loss + WAS loss + ATL draw
5. DET win + SF loss or draw + ARI loss + SEA draw + WAS loss or draw + ATL loss
6. DET win + SF loss or draw + ARI loss + SEA draw + WAS loss + ATL draw

Note: There are other scenarios in which Detroit can clinch a playoff spot with a tie and other results in which the Lions secure the strength-of-win tiebreaker.