Who would win if the 2025 Golden Globes ceremony were held today? According to our exclusive Gold Derby predictions, where more than 2,000 people made their predictions following the Globe nominations on December 9, 2024, we have the latest insight into the early front-runners for this year’s trophies.

Below is a snapshot of our film and television ratings for the 82nd annual ceremony, updated on December 20, 2024. Our predicted winners are marked with Gold. See how the odds and rankings have changed over time by checking out our previous Golden Globe snapshot from December 11th.

Two films are expected to win this year’s Globes, each taking the top three trophies: The brutalist in the drama picture, drama actor (Adrien Brody) and director (Brady Corbet); And Anora in comedy/musical film, comedy/musical actress (Mikey Madison) and script (Sean Baker).

Meanwhile, three more films are expected to claim two statuettes each: A real pain in Comedy/Musical Actor (Jesse Eisenberg) and supporting actors (Kieran Culkin); Emilia Perez as a supporting actress (Zoe Saldana) and non-English language film; And The wild robot in an animated feature film and song (“Kiss the Sky”).

Over on the TV side, Shogun And Baby reindeer are poised to go home with three Golden Globes: Drama Series, Drama Actor (Hiroyuki Sanada) and drama actress (Anna Sawai) for the former; and limited series, limited/film actor (Richard Gadd) and supporting actress (Jessica Gunning) for the latter.

SEE Make your Golden Globe predictions now – it’s fun and easy!

Gold Derby’s Golden Globe odds are based on the combined predictions of experts at major media companies, our editors who cover awards throughout the year, the top 24 users with the best accuracy scores over the past year, and the bulk of users who are our largest Predictions make block. Follow the awards by exploring all of our charts and graphs and listen in on our forums. The live ceremony will take place on January 5, 2025 at the Beverly Hilton Hotel.

BEST MOVIE DRAMA

1. The brutalist – 7/2
2. conclave — 19/5
3. A complete unknown – 11/2
4. Dune: Part Two – 11/2
5. Nickel Boys — 13/2
6. September 5th — 13/2

BEST MOVIE DRAMA ACTRESS

1. Angelina Jolie (Mary) – May 19th
2. Nicole Kidman (Baby girl) – 4/1
3. Fernanda Torres (I’m still here) – 9/2
4. Pamela Anderson (The Last Showgirl) – 11/2
5. Tilda Swinton (The room next door) – 13/2
6. Kate Winslet (lee) – 7/1

BEST MOVIE DRAMA ACTOR

1. Adrien Brody (The brutalist) – 18/5
2. Ralph Fiennes (conclave) – 4/1
3. Timothée Chalamet (A complete unknown) – 9/2
4. Colman Domingo (Singing Singing) – 11/2
5. Sebastian Stan (The apprentice) – 7/1
6. Daniel Craig (Strange) – 7/1

BEST MOVIE COMEDY/MUSICAL

1. Anora — 37/10
2. Evil — 4/1
3. Emilia Perez – 9/2
4. A real pain — 6/1
5. The substance — 6/1
6. challenger – 15/2

BEST FILM COMEDY/MUSICAL ACTRESS

1. Mikey Madison (Anora) – 7/2
2. Cynthia Erivo (Evil) – 9/2
3. Karla Sofia Gascón (Emilia Perez) – 9/2
4. Demi Moore (The substance) – 5/1
5. Zendaya (challenger) – 7/1
6. Amy Adams (Night slut) – 7/1

BEST FILM COMEDY/MUSICAL ACTOR

1. Jesse Eisenberg (A real pain) – May 19th
2. Sebastian Stan (Another man) – 4/1
3. Glen Powell (killer) – 9/2
4. Hugh Grant (Heretic) – 5/1
5. Gabriel LaBelle (Saturday evening) – 13/2
6. Jesse Plemons (Types of kindness) – 15/2

BEST MOVIE SUPPORTING ACTRESS

1. Zoe Saldana (Emilia Perez) – 7/2
2. Ariana Grande (Evil) – May 19th
3. Isabella Rossellini (conclave) – 11/2
4. Felicity Jones (The brutalist) – 11/2
5. Selena Gomez (Emilia Perez) – 13/2
6. Margaret Qualley (The substance) – 7/1

Best Film Supporting Actor

1. Kieran Culkin (A real pain) – 10/3
2. Guy Pearce (The brutalist) – 4/1
3. Denzel Washington (Gladiator II) – 5/1
4. Yura Borisov (Anora) – 11/2
5. Jeremy Strong (The apprentice) – 13/2
6. Edward Norton (A complete unknown) – 7/1

BEST MOVIE DIRECTOR

1. Brady Corbet (The brutalist) – 18/5
2. Sean Baker (Anora) – 4/1
3. Edward Berger (conclave) – 5/1
4. Jacques Audiard (Emilia Perez) – 5/1
5. Coralie Fargeat (The substance) – 6/1
6. Payal Kapadia (Everything we imagine as light) – 7/1

BEST MOVIE SCREENPLAY

1. Anora — 69/20
2. conclave — 4/1
3. A real pain — 5/1
4. The brutalist — 6/1
5. The substance — 6/1
6. Emilia Perez — 7/1

BEST ANIMATION FEATURE

1. The wild robot — 17/5
2. Flow — 4/1
3. Inside Out 2 — 5/1
4. Memoirs of a Snail – 11/2
5. Wallace and Gromit: Vengeance Most Fowl — 13/2
6. Moana 2 — 7/1

BEST NON-ENGLISH FILM

1. Emilia Perez — 17/5
2. Everything we imagine as light — 4/1
3. The seed of the holy fig — 5/1
4. I’m still here – 11/2
5. Vermiglio — 7/1
6. The girl with the needle — 7/1

BEST RESULTS

1. conclave — 37/10
2. The brutalist — 4/1
3. challenger — 5/1
4. The wild robot – 11/2
5. Emilia Perez — 6/1
6. Dune: Part Two — 13/2

BEST SONG

1. The wild robot (“Kiss the Sky”) – 39/10
2. Emilia Perez (“El Mal”) – 4/1
3. Emilia Perez (“Mi Camino”) – 9/2
4. The Last Showgirl (“Beautiful That Way”) – 5/1
5. Better man (“Forbidden Road”) – 13/2
6. challenger (“Compress/Suppress”) – 7/1

CINEMA AND BOX PERFORMANCE

1. Evil — 4/1
2. Deadpool and Wolverine — 6/1
3. Inside Out 2 — 13/2
4. Gladiator II – 15/2
5. The wild robot — 8/1
6. Beetlejuice Beetlejuice – 1.9
7. Alien: Romulus — 19/2
8. Twister — 19/2

BEST DRAMA SERIES

1. Shogun — 10/3
2. Slow horses – 9/2
3. The diplomat — 5/1
4. Mr and Mrs Smith — 6/1
5. Squid game — 13/2
6. The Day of the Jackal — 13/2

BEST TV DRAMA ACTOR

1. Hiroyuki Sanada (Shogun) – 7/2
2. Gary Oldman (Slow horses) – 4/1
3. Eddie Redmayne (The Day of the Jackal) – 5/1
4. Jake Gyllenhaal (Probably innocent) – 11/2
5. Donald Glover (Mr and Mrs Smith) – 13/2
6. Billy Bob Thornton (Countryman) – 7/1

BEST TV DRAMA ACTRESS

1. Anna Sawai (Shogun) – 71/20
2. Keri Russell (The diplomat) – 9/2
3. Kathy Bates (Matlock) – 9/2
4. Maya Erskine (Mr and Mrs Smith) – 6/1
5. Keira Knightley (Black pigeons) – 6/1
6. Emma D’Arcy (House of the Dragon) – 7/1

BEST COMEDY SERIES

1. Hacks — 69/20
2. Nobody wants that – 9/2
3. The bear – 9/2
4. Just murders in the building – 11/2
5. Abbott Elementary School — 13/2
6. The gentlemen – 15/2

BEST TV COMEDY ACTOR

1. Adam Brody (Nobody wants that) – May 19th
2. Jeremy Allen White (The bear) – 4/1
3. Ted Danson (A man inside) – 5/1
4.Martin Short (Just murders in the building) – 11/2
5. Steve Martin (Just murders in the building) – 13/2
6. Jason Segel (shrinkage) – 13/2

BEST TV COMEDY ACTRESS

1. Jean Smart (Hacks) – 10/3
2. Kristen Bell (Nobody wants that) – 4/1
3. Ayo Edebiri (The bear) – 5/1
4. Quinta Brunson (Abbott Elementary School) – 6/1
5. Selena Gomez (Just murders in the building) – 13/2
6. Kathryn Hahn (Agatha all the time) – 7/1

BEST LIMITED SERIES/TV MOVIE

1. Baby reindeer – 7/2
2. The penguin – 9/2
3. Disclaimer – 9/2
4. Ripley – 11/2
5. True Detective: Night Country — 13/2
6. Monsters: The Story of Lyle and Erik Menendez — 13/2

BEST LIMITED/MOVIE ACTOR

1.Richard Gadd (Baby reindeer) – 37/10
2. Colin Farrell (The penguin) – May 19th
3. Andrew Scott (Ripley) – 9/2
4. Cooper Cook (Monsters: The Story of Lyle and Erik Menendez) – 6/1
5.Kevin Kline (Disclaimer) – 6/1
6. Ewan McGregor (A gentleman in Moscow) – 15/2

BEST LIMITED/MOVIE ACTRESS

1. Jodie Foster (True Detective: Night Country) – 18/5
2. Cristin Milioti (The penguin) – 4/1
3. Cate Blanchett (Disclaimer) – 9/2
4. Sofia Vergara (Griselda) – 11/2
5. Naomi Watts (Feud: Capote vs. The Swans) – 13/2
6. Kate Winslet (The regime) – 7/1

BEST TV SUPPORTING ACTOR

1. Ebon Moss-Bachrach (The bear) – 39/10
2. Tadanobu Asano (Shogun) – 9/2
3. Jack Lowden (Slow horses) – 9/2
4. Javier Bardem (Monsters: The Story of Lyle and Erik Menendez) – 11/2
5. Harrison Ford (shrinkage) – 11/2
6. Diego Luna (La Maquina) – 7/1

BEST TV SUPPORTING ACTRESS

1. Jessica Gunning (Baby reindeer) – 7/2
2. Hannah Einbinder (Hacks) – 4/1
3. Liza Colon-Zayas (The bear) – 5/1
4. Allison Janney (The diplomat) – 11/2
5. Kali Rice (True Detective: Night Country) – 13/2
6. Dakota Fanning (Ripley) — 7/1

BEST TV STAND-UP COMEDY PERFORMANCE

1. Nikki Glaser: One day you will die — 37/10
2. Jamie Foxx: What happened was — 39/10
3. Adam Sandler: I love you – 11/2
4. Seth Meyers: Dad Man Walking – 11/2
5. Ali Wong: Single lady — 6/1
6. Ramy Youssef: More feelings — 13/2

Note: Golden Globes producer Dick Clark Productions is owned by Penske Media Eldridge, a joint venture between Eldridge and Penske Media Corporation, which also owns Gold Derby.

SIGN UP for Gold Derby’s free newsletter with the latest predictions