NFL 2024 Week 16 Betting: Tampa Bay Buccaneers-Dallas Cowboys Odds, Picks, Lines

NFL 2024 Week 16 Betting: Tampa Bay Buccaneers-Dallas Cowboys Odds, Picks, Lines

In the final game of Week 16 on Sunday, the Dallas Cowboys, looking to keep their postseason hopes alive, take on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Sunday Night Football (8:15 p.m. ET on NBC/Peacock). The Cowboys have won three of their last four games, including a 31-14 upset win over the Carolina Panthers last week. Much of the team’s success can be attributed to the outstanding performances of wide receiver CeeDee Lamb. Against the Panthers, Lamb caught nine passes for 116 yards and a touchdown, surpassing the 100-yard mark for the second time this season. He comes into Sunday night’s game with a receiving prop of 79.5 yards.

Meanwhile, the Bucs are in the midst of a four-game winning streak and put up 40 points in a blowout win over the Los Angeles Chargers. Running back Bucky Irving has been the driving force behind Tampa Bay’s offensive success of late, rushing for 117 yards on 15 carries last week. The line for this game started at Bucs -4.5 but has since dropped half a point to -4. The total also fell a point to 47.5 after opening at 48.5.

Here’s everything you need to know to bet on the Buccaneers-Cowboys and Andre Snelling’s favorite Sunday Night Football bet.

Odds are current as of publication, courtesy of ESPN BET


Game lines

Spread: Buccaneers -4 (Open Buccaneers -4.5)
Money line: Buccaneers (-200), Cowboys (+170)
Over/Under: 47.5 (open 48.5)

Distribution in the first half: Buccaneers -2.5 (-130), Cowboys +2.5 (Even)
First half moneyline: Buccaneers (-180), Cowboys (+140)
Buccaneers Total Points: 26.5 (above -110/below -120)
Cowboys total points: 20.5 (above -120/below -110)

Matchup Predictor (according to ESPN Analytics): Buccaneers by 7.6 points (69.9% chance of winning)


The props

Passing by

Baker Mayfield’s total passing yards: 249.5 (above even/below -130)
Mayfield’s total passing TDs: 1.5 (above -145/below +110)
Cooper Rush Total Passing Yards: 224.5 (Over -135/Under +105)
Rush total pass TDs: 1.5 (Over +120/Under -160)

Rush

Rico Dowdle Total Rushing Yards: 69.5 (Over -135/Under +105)
Bucky Irving’s total rushing yards: 59.5 (Over -145/Under +115)

Reception

Mike Evans total receiving yards: 79.5 (Over -135/Under +105)
CeeDee Lamb’s total receiving yards: 79.5 (Over +105/Under -135)
Jalen McMillian total receiving yards: 39.5 (above -115/below -115)
Jake Ferguson total receiving yards: 39.5 (above even/below -130)
Brandin Cook’s total receiving yards: 29.5 (above -110/below -120)
Sterling Shepard Receives Total Yards: 29.5 (above -120/below -110)
Total white reception yards: 19.5 (Over +105/Under -135)
Total Receiving Yards in Irving: 19.5 (above -140/below +110)
Total Receiving Yards by Dowdle: 14.5 (above -135/below +105)


Andre Snellings’ tips

Bucky Irving 60+ total rushing yards (-130)

Despite dealing with hip and back injuries, Irving had really strong performances in his rookie season. Outside of Week 14, Irving has recorded at least 73 rushing yards in each of his last four complete games. In those games, he averaged 16.3 runs for 107.5 YPG. On Sunday, he’ll face a Cowboys run defense that’s allowing the fourth-most rushing yards in the NFL (136.1 rushing yards allowed per game).


Betting trends

Courtesy of ESPN Research

  • The Buccaneers are 13-3 ATS since the start of last season (since taking over from Baker Mayfield). They are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games. The Overs are 5-1 in their last six away games.

  • The Cowboys are 0-5 ATS as a home underdog this season. They are 1-6 at home and ATS overall this season. They are 4-11 ATS as an underdog since the start of last season.

  • The Buccaneers are 5-1 ATS in their last six games.

  • The Overs are 4-1 in the Cowboys’ last five games.

  • 1st half overs in Buccaneers games are 10-3-1.

  • Over the last three seasons, the unders have gone 36-15 on Sunday Night Football (10-5 this season).

  • The Buccaneers are 13-3 ATS since the start of last season (since taking over from Baker Mayfield). They are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games. The Overs are 5-1 in their last six away games.

  • The Cowboys are 0-5 ATS as a home underdog this season. They are 1-6 at home and ATS overall this season. They are 4-11 ATS as an underdog since the start of last season.

  • The Buccaneers are 5-1 ATS in their last six games.

  • The Overs are 4-1 in the Cowboys’ last five games.

  • In Buccaneers games, the over rating in the first half is 10-3-1.

  • Over the last three seasons, the Unders’ odds on Sunday Night Football have been 36-15 (10-5 this season).


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