2025 NFL Draft Order Predictions: Giants, Patriots at Top

With just three weeks left in the 2024 NFL regular season, we’re starting to think about the 2025 draft, which begins April 24 in Green Bay, Wisconsin. Let’s take a look at the projected first-round draft order for all 32 teams using ESPN’s Football Power Index (FPI).

Each week during the season, FPI projects the draft order by simulating the remainder of the season 20,000 times. Match probabilities are based primarily on the model’s team ratings and venues. Draft order is determined by the model projects’ records for each team after 17 games, as well as each team’s average draft position in the simulations.

Our FPI predictions have the New York Giants still No. 1 after Week 15, but how does the rest of the rankings stack up? Check out our full predictions below and check back every Tuesday throughout the season for updates.

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Average draft position: 2.8
FPI chance of getting the No. 1 pick: 37.4%
FPI chance of getting a top five selection: 88.4%
FPI chance of getting a top 10 pick: 99.9%

Average draft position: 3.1
FPI chance of getting the No. 1 pick: 23.6%
FPI chance of getting a top five selection: 87.6%
FPI chance of getting a top 10 pick: 99.7%

Average draft position: 3.5
FPI chance of getting the No. 1 pick: 13.1%
FPI chance of getting a top five selection: 85.0%
FPI chance of getting a top 10 pick: 99.1%

Average draft position: 4.4
FPI chance of getting the No. 1 pick: 13.8%
FPI chance of getting a top five selection: 64.5%
FPI chance of getting a top 10 pick: 98.0%

Average draft position: 5.0
FPI chance of getting the No. 1 pick: 6.1%
FPI chance of getting a top five selection: 59.2%
FPI chance of getting a top 10 pick: 99.8%

Average draft position: 5.4
FPI chance of getting the No. 1 pick: 3.6%
FPI chance of getting a top five selection: 51.5%
FPI chance of getting a top 10 pick: 99.3%

Average draft position: 5.5
FPI chance of getting the No. 1 pick: 2.4%
FPI chance of getting a top five selection: 49.4%
FPI chance of getting a top 10 pick: 99.0%

Average draft position: 8.2
FPI chance of getting the No. 1 pick: <0.1%
FPI chance of getting a top five selection: 10.5%
FPI chance of getting a top 10 pick: 88.8%