The New Orleans Pelicans travel to Memphis to take on the Grizzlies, which seems like a big mismatch given their recent form. The Pelicans have struggled this season, sitting at a dismal 4-15. Injuries have derailed New Orleans, Zion Williamson is still out, and their offensive woes are glaring. Despite Dejounte Murray’s return against Toronto, where he scored 14 points in 25 minutes, the team’s offense ranks in the bottom five in most statistical categories. They also struggled defensively, in part due to the offseason departure of center Jonas Valanciunas.

In contrast, the Grizzlies are 12-7, good for fourth place in the Western Conference. Even though their offense isn’t completely off, it’s their defensive identity that’s driving their success. Over the last five games, Memphis has held its opponents to an average of 114 points per game, showcasing a disciplined defensive unit.

New Orleans’ scoring woes, especially during their current record of just 100.4 points per game over the last five games, mean problems against Memphis’ stifling defense. The Grizzlies’ balanced approach should give them the upper hand, especially at home. With the Pelicans reeling and Memphis returning to form, the under is the way to go. However, I think the game total could be sketchy depending on what Memphis does tonight. Therefore, I expect the Pelicans team total to be under 109.5.

Pelicans vs. Grizzlies Prediction: New Orleans team total under 109.5 (-108), available at time of publication. Playable under this number.

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