Global Currency Market Summary: US Dollar and Federal Reserve Policy, Global Economic Forecast and Petroleum Prices as of December 24, 2024

Global Currency Market Summary: US Dollar and Federal Reserve Policy, Global Economic Forecast and Petroleum Prices as of December 24, 2024

The US dollar research stands in an aggressive stance from the Fed, stealing few taxes and an even higher fee trained by investors.

Força do dólar americano and politica da Reserva Federal

The American dollar is currently a significant force in the global market. The American dollar index (DXY), which was linked to a headquarters with the appreciation of the dollar, was negotiated two years ago, at the end of the mark of 108.00. This demand was increasingly supported by the monetary policy stance of the Federal Reserve (Fed). The Fed’s recent communications and policy debates announced that they have decided to take a multi-year break to sort out the future of the tax code. On the Fed credit graph, a visual representation of politicians’ projects for the tax rate on federal funds was proposed, which envisaged an interest rate of 3.9% by the end of 2025 mercado. It is aggressive, has the potential to deal with more or less demanding demands on the judiciary and is a cause for concern that it maintains the strength of the US dollar, and is very tense for investors who need to recover more money.

Global economic situation and oil prices

The other important issue is that the announcements are due to the implementation of economic measures, particularly in China, and their impact on our oil prices. China, a world’s largest oil consumer, announced plans to invest a substantial three trillion yuan (equivalent to about $411 billion) in its economy, especially since the sale of these securities in 2025. This estimated package It was a project, to drive domestic consumption, make corporate investments in device development, and target key technology and manufacturing companies. I expect it to be a capital injection that will boost economic performance and thereby increase demand for energy resources, including petroleum. There was already demand in advance, influenced by gasoline prices, which were currently sending more than $70 a barrel in trades. It is a global economic context because political decisions in one region can have a significant impact on all commodity markets around the world.

Divergence of politics between the Bank of Central and the values ​​of money

The issue of bill trading is a divergence in monetary policy between major banks, or it has a significant impact on business conditions. Banco Central Europeu (BCE) announced that it expects inflation in the euro zone to briefly rise by around 2%. With this perspective, BCE’s taxes will be further reduced by 2025. It has a cautious attitude and has adopted a stance to manage the administrators of large companies buscam retornos mais Alt. In addition, the Banco do Japao (BoJ) has suggested a possible stance of a more aggressive stance. With inflation in Japan set to rise to 1% by the end of 2025, the BoJ will consider implementing gradual increases over the next few years. There is the potential for higher litigation in Japan as a win for Japanese people by attracting investors who want to make bigger profits. The different monetary policies between the BCE and the BoJ provide opportunities for business negotiations and are important for monitoring central and national banks’ communications to gain insights into future movements of the world.

Key economic events next week:

  • Tobacco Consumer Price Index (Year) (December 26, 2024, 23:30 GMT, JPY, MAXIMUM): It is an inflation indicator for the Toquio metropolitan area, which is considered an indicator of the national inflation trend in Japan. A few years ago (year-on-year) prices were measured several times higher or lower compared to a few years ago. The inflation guidelines could put pressure on the Banco do Japan (BoJ) by adjusting its monetary policy, potentially leading to a sharper increase. Ultimately, however, inflation was not yet so great that the BoJ could actually take a dovish stance.
  • IPC de Toquio ex Alimentos, Energia (YoY) (December 26, 2024, 23:30 GMT, JPY, MAXIMUM): It is a medium inflation rate for Tóquio, excluding volatile food and energy. Ao removers contain fluctuating components, they have a picture, but significantly more pressure on the factors underlying the economy. I have already watched the BoJ observers and become aware of the ongoing inflation trends. Like the IPC director, a great leader, he said the administrator could increase the pressure on the litigation and possibly have an impact on his bravery.
  • Start of the additional program (December 26, 2024, 13:30 GMT, USD, MÉDIO): The Medium Impact rating on their list is the indicator that is considered a crucial indicator for selling on the EUA trading market in the first week of the year. This is a number of people concerned with the safety of the first two people. A larger number than that, which means the trade market will be affected or which could have a negative impact on the American dollar, could mean a potential economic slowdown. Additionally, there is a smaller number that suggests it is a strong trading market that is generally positive for the dollar. Given that the Fed is focused on this as part of its term, this approach is important to capitalize on the potential direction of future monetary policy.
  • Pesquisa ZEW – Expectativas (December 26, 2024, 09:00 GMT, CHF, MÉDIO): The ZEW Economic Index is considered an expert on the financial market in Switzerland in connection with future economic development. It is a prospective indicator that reflects sentiment in the coming months. I’ve been more concerned about focusing on the growing economic future or how I could have a positive impact on my success. I don’t believe that he is pessimistic and that he can exert the pressure that descends on my life.
  • Comércio varejista (anual), Comércio varejista sa (mensal), Vendas de grandes varejistas (December 26, 2024, 11:50 p.m. GMT, JPY, MÉDIO): This is a connection of relationship data to guests from Japanese consumers. The Comércio Varejista (YoY) stopped selling a few years ago, while the Comércio Varejista (MoM) was on the market more than a week ago. The Vendas de Grandes Varejistas focus specifically on the sale of the Grands Lojas de Varejo. There are many insights into the trust of consumers and hospitality, which are among the most important entrepreneurs who are increasingly trading economically. Since the sales are not more strengths that the confidant is actually trying to deal with an economic crisis and that he may be able to support there too. However, as it is another challenge that can damage the economy.

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