Dow and S&P 500 Expected to Open Lower; Fed minutes; Trump-Denmark fallout; Tesla, Palantir, Nvidia Other switchers

Dow and S&P 500 Expected to Open Lower; Fed minutes; Trump-Denmark fallout; Tesla, Palantir, Nvidia Other switchers

U.S. stock futures fell early Wednesday after suffering a sharp decline yesterday. President-elect Donald Trump and signs of higher inflation are unsettling traders as 2025 begins.

The biggest concern right now is what the Federal Reserve will do next. After interest rates were cut by a percentage point late last year, traders are scaling back their expectations for further rate cuts in 2025, which is bad news for stocks. On Tuesday, economic data on the labor market and the service sector suggested that economic growth remains robust, companies are still looking for new employees and there is room for price increases.

In addition, Trump renewed talk of tariffs on Tuesday and said he would punish Denmark if it does not give up Greenland’s sovereignty. Both import tariffs – which would fuel inflation – and geopolitical uncertainty could add volatility this year. For now, however, the strength of the economy is likely to have a positive impact on corporate profits.

“The Fed had already warned that there would likely only be two cuts this year, down from four forecast in September, but speculation is rife that this could be reduced to just one if price pressures continue,” said Susannah Streeter, Head of Monetary and Currency Markets at Hargreaves Lansdown.

Futures for the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell less than or 0.1%. Contracts tied to the S&P 500 also fell less than 0.1%, as did futures tracking the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100. All three indexes fell on Tuesday, with the S&P ending the day down 1.1%.

Minutes from the Fed’s December meeting could have an impact on markets today. The stock market will be closed tomorrow in memory of President Jimmy Carter.

Longer-term borrowing costs rose this week. The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note was at 4.686, up from 4.629% yesterday and 4.57% at the end of last week. The yield on the 2-year note was 4.299%, compared to 4.25% last week.

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