Wizards vs Bulls Prediction

My best choice
Under 242 (-110 at bet365)

My analysis
This total is the same as that match on New Year’s Day, with the change in home advantage not affecting the total as the spread does.

But maybe it should be that way.

The Washington Wizards shot an absurd 17 of 36 from long range in this game, which is 47%, well above their season average of 33%. For the sake of thoroughness, it should be noted that 36 three-pointers were no surprise, not when Washington attempts 37 per game.

Role players shoot better at home. Justin Champagnie went 2 of 3, Carlton Carrington was a perfect 3 of 3 and Jordan Poole made 6 of 13, although he may not have been a role player.

This was a clear surprise against the Chicago Bulls. Even including this game, opponents made just 31.8% of 3-point shots against the Bulls last month, the lowest rate in the NBA. The Wizards are likely to revert to such misery tonight.

When things got heated up, this game still fell 10 points short of the total.

Chicago isn’t playing well enough to make up for the following difference and take this game to its high overall value, not with an offensive rating that ranked 23rd in the NBA last month. It’s thanks entirely to the Bulls’ defense that they’ve managed to go 7-5 overall over the last month, with the Unders winning nine of those 12 games.

Same game between Wizards and Bulls

Below 242

Jordan Poole Under 3.5 threes

Jordan Poole Under 23.5 points

Chicago’s defense has largely gone unnoticed, in part because its rating ranked just 15th in the NBA last month. It is characterized by the environment in which Poole lives.

He has shot 11.5 three-pointers per game in the last month, which is 40.2%, or 4.6 per game. If the Bulls take away those open looks tonight, Poole will have little recourse, not when more than half of his points come from deep.

Learn how to place a bet in the same game with these helpful tips and strategies.

Wizards vs Bulls odds

Wizards vs Bulls live odds

Wizards vs. Bulls opening odds

• Spread: Washington +11.5 | Chicago -11.5
• Money line: Washington +475 | Chicago -650
• Over/Under: Over 240.5 | Below 240.5

Odds courtesy of bet365

Wizards vs. Bulls spread and over/under analysis

• That spread started with an 11.5-point lead for Chicago on Thursday night and hasn’t budged, remaining stable across the board.
• Compared to the -6 spread in the Bulls’ favor on New Year’s Day, this 5.5-point shift makes sense given that both Washington and Chicago have home-field advantages of 2.5 and 3 points, respectively.
• That total started at 240.5 and rose to 242 overnight, peaking at 243.5 mid-morning before returning to a stable 242.

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