INDIANAPOLIS – No. 3 Penn State and No. 1 Oregon meet tonight at Lucas Oil Stadium for the Big Ten title. The 12-0 Ducks are the 3.5-point favorite and the over/under betting total is 50.5. Points. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:17 p.m. ET on CBS. This is only the second time this year that the Nittany Lions have been an underdog, the first being when they hosted Ohio State already in November. PSU has been a 6-24 underdog since October 2014. according to Odd Sharkbut stands a respectable 14-16 against the number.

Our weekly selection overview gives you a final, comprehensive insight into the opinions of data systems and experts before you start. And as always, be sure to check your sportsbook of choice for line changes and remember to gamble responsibly!

Computer Model Selection for Penn State-Oregon

ESPN Bill Connelly’s SP+ model predicts a 27-24 win for Oregon. This is a cover for the Lions and a pick for the over.

Sportsline sees a 26:25 triumph for the Nittany Lions. This is also a choice for the over.

The XMOV model of the Athletic by Austin Mock predicts a 29-25 win for Oregon. This is a prediction for the Ducks to win and cover while conceding the over.

Finally, the Dark Index Projects a 1 point win for Oregon. The Under likes it as it calls for 45 total points in the competition.

Lions-Ducks selection from a national perspective

Bill Bender of The Sporting News calls for the under to hit as the Ducks win 30-20.

“The Ducks have a chance to win the Big Ten in their first season against Penn State, which won its last Big Ten championship in 2016,” he writes. “This is a battle between two top 10 defenders. The Nittany Lions are allowing 14 points per game and Oregon is allowing 16.2 points per game. Ducks quarterback Dillon Gabriel led the Big Ten with 3,275 passing yards, 24 TDs and just six interceptions. How will Penn State’s front seven — led by Abdul Carter — change that? Penn State quarterback Drew Allar has a 74.2% completion percentage with six touchdowns and no interceptions in his last four games. The Nittany Lions are 0-5 S/U and 1-4 ATS as an underdog since 2022. Is James Franklin changing the narrative here? “

At Bleacher Report, David Kenyon It’s 23-16 in favor of Oregon. This is a call to subordinates.

“Perhaps lost in the chaos of multiple SEC upsets is that Penn State beat Minnesota by one point,” Kenyon writes. “However, because of this win, the Nittany Lions are essentially locked into the CFP view as well. There will be no doubt when Penn State topples a faltering Maryland team.”

“Penn State’s defense is great,” he wrote. “But the stories exist for a reason. James Franklin has a 1-13 record against top-five competition during his time at PSU, and Drew Allar has consistently been quiet in important games. No, that doesn’t mean Penn State can not win. This defense is good enough to carry the team! I am also not prepared to act against these two clearly defined trends until Penn State proves it.”

At The Action Network, Collin Wilson predicts a Penn State win.

“With advantages in running concepts and court defense, Penn State should be able to win its second Big Ten championship since the introduction of the title game in Indianapolis,” he writes. “Look for Warren to capitalize on an Oregon defense that couldn’t make contested catches against an elite Michigan tight end.”

Beat the authors’ predictions for Penn State-Oregon

At PennLive, its four-person reporting team The consensus is that Oregon will be selected as the winner and decker.

“I think this is a bad decision, and ESPN thinks so too,” writes Johnny McGonigal. “ESPN’s advanced metrics give Penn State a 51% chance of winning. But I think we’ll talk about the talent difference at wide receiver after the game. In a close game where a big play could win the game, I would choose Oregon’s wideout trio over Penn State’s.”

In AthleticAudrey Snyder picks Oregon 27-20, while Scott Dochterman picks Penn State and wins 27-23.

“The key is whether Penn State’s receivers can create some separation and whether Oregon’s offensive line can protect Gabriel in critical situations,” Dochterman writes. “I think a Penn State receiver has a lot to offer and Carter forces a game-changing turnover in the fourth quarter.”

Frank Bodani picks it 27-20 in favor of the Ducks.

How BWI employees chose Lions Ducks

Nate Bauer: PSU: 24, Oregon: 23
Sean Fitz: Oregon: 31, PSU: 24
Thomas Frank Carr: Oregon: 24, PSU: 17
Matt Herb: Oregon: 31, PSU: 17
Greg Pickel: Oregon: 23, PSU: 20
Ryan Snyder: Oregon: 27, PSU: 14