Best bets for the Ravens vs. Steelers NFL Saturday game in Week 16

The Pittsburgh Steelers and Baltimore Ravens meet for the second time in the NFL season on Saturday. The Week 16 game could determine which squad wins the AFC North.

Pittsburgh’s goal on Saturday is simple. If the Steelers (10-4) win, they will win the AFC North as they have a two-game lead over the Ravens in the division standings while also being ahead in their head-to-head matchup against the Ravens.

If the Ravens (9-5) win, the Steelers will still have a slight edge in the tiebreaker categories, but the two teams will have identical records. That would mean a two-week sprint for the AFC North title.

Lamar Jackson will also try to exorcise some of his demons in this match. The two-time MVP is enjoying another great season but continues to struggle in his matchups against the Steelers. In Baltimore’s loss to Pittsburgh earlier in the season, he completed just 16 of 33 yards, one touchdown and one interception.

Who can you bet on in the Ravens vs. Steelers game in Week 16? Here are some player props and anytime TD bets to consider for Saturday’s Week 16 clash between division rivals.

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Best NFL bets: Ravens vs. Steelers

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Mark Andrews OVER 3.5 receptions (+115)

The Steelers defense doesn’t have too many weaknesses, but one area where it struggles is containing tight ends. Pittsburgh has allowed 76 tight end receptions this season, good for 10th-most in the NFL. That includes 32 in the last five games (6.4 per game), so Andrews could have a big game.

Andrews has recorded more than five catches in three of his last five appearances. Granted, he didn’t do that in his team’s Week 11 game against the Steelers, but his counterpart, Isaiah Likely, led the team with four catches for 75 yards in that contest. If the Steelers pay more attention to Likely in this competition, it could open up new opportunities for Andrews.

In any case, Andrews believes there are a solid number of targets. He ranks third on the team in goals (53) and second in receptions (45), while also posting the ninth-best catch percentage (84.9%) in the entire league. That consistency will continue to earn him the attention of Jackson, especially in a matchup the Ravens must win to stay alive in the AFC North race.

Najee Harris UNDER 48.5 Rushing Yards (-110)

Only two NFL teams have allowed running backs fewer than 1,000 rushing yards this year. They are the Kansas City Chiefs (885) and the Ravens (893). That spells trouble for Harris in this matchup.

Harris averaged just 49.8 rushing yards per game in his last six appearances and did not rush past 75 yards in that span. He averages just 3.22 yards per run during that stretch, so it’s hard to imagine him matching the volume or breaking the longer runs needed to exceed that total. This is especially true if the Ravens take the lead and Pittsburgh is forced to come from behind in this contest.

Lamar Jackson any time TD (+200)

It’s safe to assume that Jackson heard a lot about his less-than-stellar career stats against the Steelers in the week leading up to this game. He has just a 2-5 record with eight interceptions in seven starts against them, most of them against a team in the Cleveland Browns, and a passer rating of just 66.7.

Below are Jackson’s complete career stats against the Steelers:

Completion Rate: 94-165 (56.97%)
Farms passing by: 1,077
Passing TDs: 5
INTs:8
Yards per attempt: 6.53
Passerby rating: 66.7
Carries: 57
Rushing meters: 308
Rushing TDs: 0
Yards per carry: 5.4

If there’s one thing that stands out about his stats, it’s that Jackson has never found the end zone on the ground against the Steelers. He could try to change that in Week 16, especially if Pittsburgh tries to sell out and stop Derrick Henry like they did the last time these two teams met.

Jackson ran for 46 yards on four carries in this Week 11 matchup with the Steelers, so his over rushing total seems like a solid bet. If you’re looking for value, getting +200 odds on a Jackson outcome is a reasonable risk.

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Pat Freiermuth any time TD (+300)

Freiermuth has scored in three consecutive games. Can he make it to the fourth? George Pickens’ absence could help him achieve that.

Pickens has missed the Steelers’ last two games with a hamstring injury. On each of those contests, Freiermuth saw two targets in the red zone. He should continue to be Russell Wilson’s primary target in that area of the field, as Pickens is expected to miss another game.

The Ravens have allowed the seventh-most receptions to tight ends (78) and the sixth-most receiving yards (860), so they may be leaky at the position. They’ve only allowed three touchdowns, but considering Freiermuth is practically Wilson’s best pass-catching weapon, this seems like a good spot and a solid matchup to back him up.

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Best bets for the Ravens vs. Steelers NFL Saturday game in Week 16

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