Bo Nix is behind Jayden Daniels

The future is here…at least for the NFL teams that drafted some of the most talented rookies in the 2024 draft class.

Almost every game is over in Week 13, with the exception of the Monday Night Football matchup between the Denver Broncos and the Cleveland Browns. Through the first 13 weeks of the season, there were only two – maybe even three – real contenders in the race for Offensive Rookie of the Year.

Quarterback Jayden Daniels of the Washington Commanders and Bo Nix of the Broncos have been the clear favorites for about two-thirds of the season. Recently, Las Vegas Raiders tight end Brock Bowers also spoke up for himself.

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With five weeks to go before the end of the 2024 NFL season, here’s how the odds for Offensive Rookie of the Year are shaping up:

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NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds: Week 13

According to Monday’s BetMGM odds, these players are all in the running for Offensive Rookie of the Year honors in Week 13.

1. Jayden Daniels, QB, Washington Commanders (-250)

Daniels joins a team that was 4-13 last year and was the No. 2 overall pick in the 2024 NFL Draft. Even after he signed his rookie contract, the expectation was that Washington would win six or seven games all season in the first year of a Daniels-centered rebuild.

After their Week 13 win over the Tennessee Titans, the Commanders are 8-5 and are in good position to make the playoffs. This is thanks in large part to the efforts of Daniels, who has a 69.6% completion rate, 2,819 passing yards and 15 passing touchdowns with six interceptions.

The dual-threat quarterback also has 590 rushing yards on 108 attempts – averaging 5.5 yards per carry – and six rushing touchdowns.

A lot has gone into the Commanders’ turnaround, but Daniels’ performance as a rookie is a big part of their ability to make the playoffs.

2. Bo Nix, QB, Denver Broncos (+200)

Nix is the only rookie quarterback whose stats and team impact rival Daniels’ numbers and team success.

Like the Commanders, Nix’s team should also end the 2024 season with a losing record. Their preseason winning total over/under was 5.5. But the Broncos, like the Commanders, have already achieved the goal with their 7-5 record heading into their Monday Night Football game in Week 13. Denver, like Washington, is the No. 7 seed in its conference and would make the playoffs if the season ends after Week 13.

As far as numbers go, Nix is about half a step behind Daniels and has played one fewer game at the time of writing. He has a 64.9% completion percentage with 2,548 passing yards, 16 touchdowns and six interceptions.

While the Oregon product isn’t known as much for his running ability, it has also been a strength for him this year. He ran 64 times for 300 yards (4.7 yards per carry) and had four rushing touchdowns.

Nix and Daniels are the only ones in the top tier of rookie offensive linemen this year, and the Broncos’ quarterback has a chance to come out on top with a strong performance on Monday night.

3. Brock Bowers, TE, Las Vegas Raiders (+1200)

Bowers sits at the top of the second-highest rookie class and faces an uphill battle as a non-quarterback playing for a team that is one of the NFL’s worst.

The Raiders tight end’s case for this year’s OROY Award is based on a level of production that has never been achieved before. Bowers has 119 catches, 1,252 yards and six touchdowns in 17 games. If he achieves those points, he would set a single-season record for receiving yards by a tight end – rookie or not – and displace former Raider Todd Christensen for 10th most receiving yards in a season by a tight end all-time.

Bowers is a tight end of the Travis Kelce or Rob Gronkowski generation. If he played in a year with poor quarterback performance, he would be almost certain to win the OROY Award.

4. Caleb Williams, QB, Chicago Bears (+6600)

All in all, the No. 1 pick in the 2024 NFL Draft had a great season.

He’s about to play for his third offensive coordinator and second head coach in the same season. In a sport where consistency is crucial to player development, the Bears have provided next to nothing to the man they hope will become their franchise quarterback.

Still, he has the second-most passing yards of any rookie quarterback this year, with his 2,612 yards just behind Daniels in one less game. He has a 61.6% completion rate, which isn’t great, but he has 14 touchdowns to just five interceptions.

At the rate Williams is going, he would have 3,700 passing yards, 20 touchdowns and seven interceptions by the end of this year. That total would be the third all-time in a single season in Bears franchise history. His 20 touchdowns would be the 12th most in a single season in team history, and the seven interceptions would be the fewest thrown by a Bears quarterback in a 20-touchdown season.

Williams has the potential to be the franchise quarterback the Bears hope he will be, but he plays for a 4-8 team and faces stiff competition from other rookie quarterbacks. This means his chances at OROY are lower.

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T-5. Ladd McConkey, WR, Los Angeles Chargers; Bucky Irving, RB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+10000)

McConkey and Irving have had great years, and although they are in the top five in odds of winning OROY, they both have great chances of winning the award.

McConkey has 58 catches for 815 yards and four touchdowns this year. He’s on pace for a 1,100-yard season as a rookie and thrived when quarterback Justin Herbert threw him the ball. McConkey should remain a central figure as the Chargers’ offensive identity continues to grow and evolve under Jim Harbaugh.

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Bo Nix is behind Jayden Daniels

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