• QB Bo Nix, Denver Broncos – over 219.5 passing yards and over 2.5 passing touchdowns: Much of the credit for this team’s success goes to head coach Sean Payton and his rookie quarterback Bo Nix, who is quickly earning a strong reputation as Offensive Rookie of the Year. Since Week 9, Nix has posted a PFF passing grade of 83.5 – the third highest in the NFL – and leads the league with an adjusted completion rate of 84.7%. He also threw eight touchdown passes during that span, more than any quarterback without an interception.

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Estimated reading time: 3 minutes

Game overview

The Week 13 slate ends Monday night with a surprise AFC showdown Brown tones Travel to Denver to indulge Broncos‘Playoff ambitions.

After November began with a disheartening defeat in Baltimore, the Broncos have responded with three consecutive strong performances that drove coverage and finished the month 3-1 against the spread (ATS). Denver now has a share of the best ATS record in the league at 9-3, including a perfect 5-0 mark as a favorite.

The Broncos The defense was the backbone of their success, giving their young quarterback enough room to play with ease and confidence with a lead. The unit was remarkably efficient, ranking second in EPA allowed per game and top five in hits allowed (30.8%).

Cleveland, meanwhile, is struggling to find consistent success in the betting markets with an ATS of 4-7. However, they have shown that they can surprise teams when they are underestimated. In the last four games they have Brown tones are 2-2 both directly and ATS, including two overall wins against AFC playoff contenders.

Still, Cleveland’s inconsistency is significant as they are just two weeks removed from a 35-14 loss to fall below .500 Saints team in New Orleans. While Jameis Winston added a slight spark to the passing game that Brown tones“The lack of a reliable running attack has made them one-dimensional.” Even with Nick Chubb Back in the lineup, Cleveland has ranked last in explosive run percentage (5.6%) since Week 7 and hasn’t been able to rekindle the rush attack it was hoping for.

QB Bo Nix, Denver Broncos: Over 219.5 passing yards and over 2.5 passing touchdowns

Much of the credit for this team’s success goes to head coach Sean Payton and his rookie quarterback. Bo Nixwho quickly earned a reputation as Offensive Rookie of the Year. Since Week 9, Nix has posted a PFF passing grade of 83.5 – the third highest in the NFL – and leads the league with an adjusted completion rate of 84.7%. He also threw eight touchdown passes during that span, more than any quarterback without an interception.

In his last five games, the young quarterback has surpassed 220 passing yards three times and scored at least two touchdowns in the same game, including each of the last two weeks.

Cleveland’s coverage unit has struggled to limit passing production, particularly of late. It’s been since week 9 Brown tonesThe coverage ratio is just 55.4, which puts it in the bottom third of the league. Their inability to prevent big plays was a key issue, as they allowed the second-highest completion rate of more than 15 yards (21.6%).

This vulnerability has allowed opposing quarterbacks to exceed both benchmarks in four of their last six games.