The betting market already takes all the information into account. It is almost impossible to have a betting angle that is not already known. The only difference is how much weight a bettor places on a particular nugget or action.

For me, the outcome of Wednesday’s CFP quarterfinal/Peach Bowl point split will be decided by Arizona State coach Ken Dillingham, who agreed to a five-year contract extension late Tuesday night. I truly believe the sports world will eventually refer to him as an “offensive genius.” I’ve read two books about Bill Belichick and while it’s high praise, Dillingham reminds me of the legendary coach.

The question is whether the 34-year-old currently has the capacity to survive with the Sun Devils as Texas’ 12.5-point underdog.

The media has focused primarily on the history of Dillingham’s hometown. He grew up in Scottsdale and attended ASU games his entire life because his family was close religiously. He then attended ASU and eventually landed his dream job coaching his beloved Sun Devils.

While that’s certainly a cool backstory, I’m more impressed with his career history and dedication. The guy tore his ACL during his senior year of high school and used it as an opportunity to coach the junior varsity team.

That passion continued as an ASU student when he served as offensive coordinator at powerhouse Chaparral High School and won a state championship. Instead of indulging in a well-documented party scene, the student dissected the video.

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This allowed him to strengthen his contacts with college coaches, who were eager to pursue him for their own staff. After graduating, Dillingham soon found himself in the SEC, where he coached and found success before serving as Oregon’s offensive coordinator.

At age 32, Dillingham took over an ASU program that went 1-9, but is now in the playoffs two years later with an 11-2 record despite a freshman quarterback. He also has a stud in running back Cam Skattebo, who finished fifth in Heisman Trophy voting.

Betting on college football?

The Sun Devils last played on December 7th. With over three weeks to scout Texas, Dillingham should have the antidote to the Longhorns’ stout defense. Frankly, Clemson discovered a lot of weaknesses in their first-round loss, so I firmly believe Dillingham will put together a strong game plan.

I’ll take ASU +12.5, but my favorite play is the team’s total score over 18.5. Skattebo is a different type of animal. Add this weapon to Dillingham’s brain, and I think ASU has a strong combination that the betting market hasn’t fully assessed yet.

Why should you trust New York Post Betting?

Doug Kezirian is a New York Post contributor and currently Chief Content Officer for Only Players, a sports betting media company. Doug has more than two decades of betting experience, including eleven years as an anchor, columnist and betting analyst at ESPN. He is also the rare figure who has documented success – 14th place in the 2023 Circa Million and Las Vegas SuperContest ($37,000), two top-10 finishes in the 2022 William Hill College Football Challenge ($58,000 ) and also made headlines at the 2021 NFL Draft with a win of $297,000.