College Football Playoff Predictions: Who’s in the final CFP round and who’s not?

College Football Playoff Predictions: Who’s in the final CFP round and who’s not?

With conference championship weekend now over, the College Football Playoff selection committee has a lot to think about.

It feels like Oregon and Georgia have a firm grip on the top two seeds in the first-ever 12-team CFP, and three teams are vying for the other two first-round byes: Big 12 champion Arizona State, ACC champion Clemson and Mountain West champion Boise State.

The Sun Devils are 11-2 with a dominant win over Iowa State in the Big 12 Championship Game. Kenny Dilligham transformed a team that was 3-9 last season into a group that has won six straight and averaged 37.2 points per contest in that series.

Clemson, fresh off a win over SMU in the ACC title game, didn’t have a ranked win on its resume before Saturday night’s win over the Mustangs. Dabo Swinney’s program finished with nine or more wins for the 14th straight season.

Then there’s Boise State, led by all-around running back Ashton Jeanty, who has rushed for nearly 2,500 yards this season and will break Barry Sanders’ single-season rushing record (2,629) in BSU’s first CFP game. The Broncos’ only loss this season came in their final game against the top-ranked team in the country.

What will the committee do? We’ll find out on Sunday at 12pm ET. In the meantime, here are my updated CFP predictions:

1. Oregon
Conference: Big Ten
Record: 13-0

2. Georgia
Conference: SEC
Record: 11-2

3. Arizona State
Conference: Big 12
Record: 11-2

4. Clemson
Conference: ACC
Record: 10-3

5. Notre Dame
Conference: Independent
Record: 11-1

6. Penn State
Conference: Big Ten
Record: 11-2

7. Indiana
Conference: Big Ten
Record: 11-1

8. Texas
Conference: SEC
Record: 11-2

9. Ohio State
Conference: Big Ten
Record: 10-2

10. Tennessee
Conference: SEC
Record: 10-2

11. Boise State
Conference: Mountain West
Record: 12-1

12. Alabama
Conference: SEC
Record: 9-3

QUARTERFINAL MATCHUPS

1.Oregon: Bye (would then play against the winner of 8. Texas vs. 9. Ohio State)

2. Georgia: Bye (would then play against the winner of 7. Indiana vs. 10. Tennessee)

3. Arizona State: Bye (would then play the winner of 6. Penn State vs. 11. Boise State)

4. Clemson: Bye (would then play against the winner of 5. Notre Dame vs. 12. Alabama)

PLAY IN THE FIRST ROUND

5. Notre Dame vs. 12.Alabama

Alabama features the best quarterback in the game, Jalen Milroe, and will be one of the most explosive teams the Fighting Irish have seen all year. Notre Dame’s defense has held opponents to just 13.6 points per game this season, but Alabama could pose a real challenge.

Jalen Milroe has thrown for 2,652 yards and 15 touchdowns and passed for 719 yards and 20 touchdowns this year. (Photo by Jonathan Bachman/Getty Images)

6. Penn State vs. 11. Boise State

The best tailback in the sport, Ashton Jeanty, will compare his offensive prowess with the best tandem tailbacks in the sport, Nicholas Singleton and Kaytron Allen. Both teams will be looking to secure a win in their first-ever appearance in the CFP.

Boise State’s Ashton Jeanty has rushed for 2,497 yards and 29 touchdowns this season. (Photo by Loren Orr/Getty Images)

7. Indiana vs. 10. Tennessee

The Hoosiers and Vols would also each be traveling to the CFP for the first time. Both teams have offenses that like to move quickly and defensive fronts with top-notch passers. These two programs are poised to provide one of the most attractive matchups of the postseason.

Indiana QB Kurtis Rourke has thrown for 2,827 yards and 27 touchdowns this year. (Photo by Michael Hickey/Getty Images)

8. Texas vs. 9. Ohio State

This game could have been for the national title as it pitted two of the sport’s most talented players against each other. Between Quintrevion Wisner and Quinshon Judkins, the running plays will be on full display during the Buckeyes’ trip to Austin.

Ohio State University freshman WR Jeremiah Smith has caught 57 passes for 934 yards and 10 touchdowns this season. (Photo by Ben Jackson/Getty Images)

RJ Young is a national college football writer and analyst for FOX Sports and host of The Number One College Football Show podcast. Follow him at @RJ_Young.

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