For the AFCthe playoff picture is slowly becoming clearer.

On Wednesday, the Kansas City Chiefs defeated the Pittsburgh Steelers and secured first place in the conference. With this result and the Baltimore Ravens’ victory over the Houston Texans, Baltimore is now in third place, while Pittsburgh has slipped to fifth place.

Meanwhile, the NFC could see clarity on Sunday. The Philadelphia Eagles, Los Angeles Rams and Atlanta Falcons all have chances to win the divisions, while the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Seattle Seahawks are trying to hold on to their slim playoff hopes.

Let’s take a look at where everyone stands after Christmas.

Additionally, All playoff probabilities come from The Athletic’s model.

Record: 15-1, first place, AFC West

Remaining opponents over .500: 1

Playoff probability: 100%

With the victory over the Steelers, the Chiefs secured the top seed in the AFC for the fourth time in Patrick Mahomes’ career. With a postseason win, Kansas City would appear in its seventh consecutive AFC Championship Game.

Record: 12-3, first place, AFC East

Remaining opponents over .500: 0

Playoff probability: 100%

Buffalo can clinch second place this weekend by beating the New York Jets at home on Sunday. With a win, the Bills would likely rest their starters in Week 18 against the New England Patriots.

Record: 11-5, first place, AFC North

Remaining opponents over .500: 0

Playoff probability: 100%

After beating the Texans, the Ravens are now in first place in the AFC North with one game to go. If Baltimore wins at home against the Cleveland Browns next weekend, it will win the division.

Record: 9-7, first place, AFC South

Remaining opponents over .500: 0

Playoff probability: 100%

Houston is tied to the fourth seed and can now rest its starters in Week 18, which serves as a de facto bye.

Record: 10-6, second place, AFC North

Remaining opponents over .500: 1

Playoff probability: 100%

Pittsburgh has now lost three games in a row, pushing the Steelers into the wild card area of ​​the AFC playoffs. To win the division, Pittsburgh must beat the Cincinnati Bengals at Acrisure Stadium next weekend and hope Baltimore loses at home to Cleveland.

Record: 9-6, second place, AFC West

Remaining opponents over .500: 0

Playoff probability: 94%

With a win on Saturday against the New England Patriots, Los Angeles would secure a spot in the playoffs for the second time in three years. With a win and a loss in Denver, the Chargers would secure at least sixth place.

Record: 9–6, third place, AFC West
Remaining opponents over .500: 1
Playoff probability: 75%

Denver can clinch a playoff spot by beating the Bengals on Saturday at Paycor Stadium. If the Broncos lose, they will still be in control of their own destiny and will have to beat the Chiefs at home in Week 18.

ON THE HUNT

Indianapolis Colts (7–8): To stay alive, the Colts need to beat the New York Giants and take a loss to Denver this weekend.

Miami Dolphins (7–8): Miami is still in play, but the Dolphins must beat the Browns in Cleveland and take a loss to Denver this weekend.

Cincinnati Bengals (7–8): Cincinnati has a simple task this weekend: beat the Broncos. To reach the postseason, the Bengals also need the Broncos to lose in Week 18, while Miami and Indianapolis lose at least one game.

Record: 13–2, first place, NFC North

Remaining opponents over .500: 1

Playoff probability: 100%

The Lions can clinch the top seed and the NFC North title this weekend, but to do so the Minnesota Vikings must lose to the Green Bay Packers and Detroit must beat the San Francisco 49ers at Levi’s Stadium on Monday night.

Record: 12-3, first place, NFC East

Remaining opponents over .500: 0

Playoff probability: 100%

Philadelphia can win the NFC East if it beats the Dallas Cowboys on Sunday or if the Washington Commanders lose at home to the Falcons on Sunday night.

Record: 9-6, first place, NFC West

Remaining opponents over .500: 1

Playoff probability: 86%

Los Angeles can clinch the NFC West with a home win over the Arizona Cardinals, while the Seattle Seahawks lose to the Chicago Bears on Thursday night.

Record: 8-7, first place, NFC South

Remaining opponents over .500: 1

Playoff probability: 51%

The Falcons have a chance to punch their playoff ticket, but to do so the Tampa Bay Buccaneers must lose to the Carolina Panthers while Atlanta beats Washington on the road to win the NFC South.

Record: 13-2, second place, NFC North

Remaining opponents over .500:2

Playoff probability: 100%

Minnesota hosts Green Bay, which comes to the Twin Cities on a short week. If the Vikings win, they will host a winner-take-all game against the Lions in Week 18. The winner would be the NFC’s top seed, while the loser would be the fifth seed.

Record: 11-4, third place, NFC North

Remaining opponents over .500: 1

Playoff probability: 100%

After defeating the New Orleans Saints on Monday night, the Packers secured a spot in the playoffs. They cannot win the NFC North and are locked out of the wild card round.

Record: 10-5, second place, NFC East

Remaining opponents over .500: 1

Playoff probability: 95%

With a win over the Falcons, Washington is in the playoffs. The Commanders can also secure a spot with a Buccaneers home loss against Carolina.

ON THE HUNT

Seattle Seahawks (8–7): The Seahawks are currently eliminated from the playoffs, but with wins in the last two weeks over the Bears and Rams, Seattle would host at least one playoff game.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8–7): The Buccaneers can stay alive in the playoffs with a win against the Panthers. However, a loss and more than a tie between the Commanders and Falcons would have eliminated them from playoff contention.