The Calgary Flames have been on fire on home ice this season and welcome the Boston Bruins to the Scotiabank Saddledome on Tuesday, December 17th.

Calgary has been one of the best defensive teams in the league on home ice, and our Bruins vs. Flames predictions have that trend continuing tonight with a low-scoring win for the home team.

Our NHL picks are set tonight at 9:00 p.m. ET on Sportsnet West.

Flames vs Bruins Prediction

My Flames picks
Flames Moneyline (+105 at BET99)

My Flames analysis

The Calgary Flames were a completely different team on their home ice at the Scotiabank Saddledome. Calgary has posted an 11-4-1 record while allowing the sixth-fewest goals per game (2.44), compared to the fourth-most on the highway (3.67).

The situation is similar with the Boston Bruins: The Bs allow the third-most goals per away game (3.73), compared to the eighth-fewest on home ice (2.65).

Boston also struggled to score all season, reflecting the lack of top scorers on the roster. Also, I don’t think winger David Pastrnak is 100% healthy.

Pastrnak has an 8.7 shooting percentage, the lowest of his career, and his 1.04 goals per 60 minutes is his lowest since his rookie season. This is a big reason why Boston ranks 31st with a power play percentage of 13.0.

After returning to Calgary, rookie Dustin Wolf was much better on home ice, posting a decent 32-save shutout against the reigning Stanley Cup champion Florida Panthers on Saturday.

So the big question is, why were Calgary and Wolf in particular so much better on home ice?

The Flames have a bigger home advantage than most teams and the oddsmakers don’t really factor it in. The Saddledome is the second oldest barn in the NHL. It requires an endless list of repairs and its replacement is scheduled to be operational for the 2027-28 season.

It’s obviously impossible to fully quantify the theory, but it’s also obvious that visiting teams aren’t having much success, and I think that’s because the Saddledome is becoming increasingly uncomfortable for visitors.

Flames vs. Bruins – Same Game Parlay (SGP)

Flames money line

Below 5.5

Nazem Kadri Over 2.5 shots

As highlighted, Calgary was a strong defensive force on home ice and Wolf was elite between the posts. Additionally, while Boston has struggled to prevent goals on the highway, they have also allowed just 2.67 per game since Joe Sacco took over as head coach.

The Flames have also played the Under in eight of their last ten home games.

Calgary center Nazem Kadri rounds this out in the same game, trading with a lower total on the shot market. Kadri regularly trades at 3.5 and has recorded three or more shots in 19 of 31 games.

Additionally, Kadri paces the Flames in both shots and attempts per game (3.26 and 6.26) and per 60 minutes (10.49 and 20.15).

Learn how to place a bet in the same game with these helpful tips and strategies.

Flames vs Bruins odds

Flames vs Bruins live odds

Flames vs. Bruins opening odds

• Puck line: Calgary +1.5 (-230) | Boston -1.5 (+190)
• Money line: Calgary +115 | Boston -135
• Over/Under: Over 5.5 (-110) | Below 5.5 (-110)

Flames vs. Bruins trend

The Calgary Flames have reached the money limit in 25 of their last 43 home games (+2.65 units / 5% ROI). Find more NHL betting trends for Flames vs. Bruins.

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