How the Arizona Cardinals can still make it to the playoffs

How the Arizona Cardinals can still make it to the playoffs

TEMPE, Ariz. – Sunday’s 30-17 win over the New England Patriots reaffirmed one thing for the Arizona Cardinals: There’s still a chance to make the playoffs.

The Cardinals’ best chance is to win the NFC West as they are one game behind the 8-6 Seattle Seahawks, who lost their division lead after losing to the Green Bay Packers in Week 15, and the Los Angeles Rams.

Arizona (7-7), which has a 12.6% chance of making the postseason and a 12.3% chance of winning the NFC West according to ESPN’s Football Power Index, left with an 8.5% chance to the playoffs in the Patriots game. The team will look to get over .500 and put pressure on the division with a win against the Carolina Panthers (1 p.m. ET, Fox) on Sunday.

The simplest scenario is that Arizona wins and both the Rams and Seahawks lose at least two of their next three. Los Angeles ends the season against the New York Jets, Cardinals and Seahawks, while Seattle faces the Minnesota Vikings, Chicago Bears and Rams.

Los Angeles has a 53.1% chance of making the playoffs and a 52.5% chance of winning the division, while Seattle has a 36.8% chance of making the postseason and a 35.2% to win the West. The San Francisco 49ers, who are one game behind the Cardinals at 6-8, have a 0.2% chance of making the playoffs and a 0.1% chance of winning the division.

Arizona could still win the division if it finishes the season tied with Seattle and Los Angeles at 10-7. And if the season ends with a 10-7 tie between the Cardinals and Rams, then Arizona would win the West.

If the Cardinals finish 10-7, they would have to play out two of four possible scenarios, according to ESPN Research: The Atlanta Falcons lose at least once, the Seahawks lose at least twice, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers lose at least twice and the Washington Commanders lose.

The Cardinals could win the division at 9-8, but one of their two wins would have to come in Week 17 over the Rams. The Rams would also have to lose to the Jets and the Seahawks would have to lose their remaining games.

Another way for Arizona to make the playoffs is a spot in the NFC wild card, most likely seventh. In this scenario, the Commanders would have to lose while the Seahawks and Cardinals would have to win the rest of their schedule.

However, all scenarios and predictions could be for naught if the Cardinals lose to Carolina in Week 16 and the Rams win. Arizona has a 73.6% chance of beating the Panthers, according to ESPN Analytics. However, the Cardinals have a 46.7% chance of beating the Rams and a 46.2% chance of beating the 49ers.

Quarterback Kyler Murray said after Sunday’s game that he wasn’t thinking about what was coming or what had to happen.

“I’m really not even looking forward,” Murray said after Sunday’s game. “I’m not happy. Today was the focus. That’s how it has to be. That’s how it has to be. Otherwise I wouldn’t want to look forward to it.”

“Of course we took care of business today. Go back, watch the tape and then get ready for the Panthers.”

Before their bye in Week 11, the Cardinals’ path to the playoffs was as simple as it could be: win and they were in. Arizona was in first place in the NFC West in mid-November, then lost three straight byes – including two to the Seahawks – and fell into a tie for the final spot in the division. However, Arizona’s win on Sunday and the 49ers’ loss to the Rams have put Arizona firmly in third place.

One of Arizona’s goals this season was to play meaningful football in December – and it is. And while coach Jonathan Gannon has said games at this time of year are just as important as those in September and October, the focus is more on the home stretch and how each game impacts the next.

But the Cardinals, some of whom have admitted they are keeping an eye on the league lead, insist they are focusing on one game at a time and moving on to the next.

“We’ll just readjust,” Gannon said. “We know we have a two-day trip to Carolina and they play hard, they are well coached, so we have to do what we have to do all week. … They know the challenge that lies ahead of us and they are ready for it.

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