There are still two weeks left in the 2024 NFL regular season and the playoff picture is almost complete. Thirteen teams have already been eliminated from the postseason and nine have secured a spot.

Only three teams have won their divisions so far: the Buffalo Bills, the Kansas City Chiefs and the Houston Texans. But all four NFC races could be over after this week.

Let’s take a look at the win scenarios for eight teams in Week 17, including how the No. 1 seeds in both conferences could be locked down next Monday.

More NFL playoff race coverage:
Projection of final sowing
FPI ratings for each team
Planned draft regulation for 2025

The decisive scenarios of Week 17 in the AFC

Already won: Kansas City Chiefs, Buffalo Bills, Pittsburgh Steelers, Baltimore Ravens, Houston Texans

The matchup: in Pittsburgh on Wednesday, 1 p.m. ET, Netflix

How the Chiefs can secure the No. 1 seed and home-field advantage:

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The matchup: in New England on Saturday, 1 p.m. ET, NFL Network

How the Chargers can secure a playoff spot:

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The matchup: in Cincinnati on Saturday, 4:30 p.m. ET, NFL Network

How the Broncos can secure a playoff spot:

The decisive scenarios of week 17 in the NFC

Already won: Detroit Lions, Philadelphia Eagles, Minnesota Vikings, Green Bay Packers

The matchup: vs. Arizona on Saturday, 8 p.m. ET, NFL Network

How the Rams can win the NFC West:

• Win + Seattle loss at Chicago (8:15 p.m. ET, Thursday) OR

• Win + decisive win tiebreaker over Seattle

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The matchup: vs. Dallas on Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, Fox

How the Eagles can win the NFC East:

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The matchup: in Washington on Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET, NBC/Peacock

How the Falcons can win the NFC South:

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The matchup: vs. Atlanta on Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET, NBC/Peacock

How the Commanders can secure a spot in the playoffs:

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The matchup: in San Francisco on Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET, ABC/ESPN/ESPN+

How the Lions can secure the No. 1 seed and home-field advantage:

NFL playoff matchups from today’s perspective

AFC

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NFC