Udinese defender Jaka Bijol (right) has been a regular fouler this season

Fiorentina vs UdineseMonday, December 23rd, 5:30 p.mLive on OneFootball

Christmas week is here, so let’s first clear up the big question: Yes, there will be a props column every day!

It would of course be great to start with a decent winner and Monday’s early game in Italy’s Serie A offers the chance to land one 9/2 Shot. The data definitely looks good, so here we go…

In this game, Fiorentina will be trying to get back into the top four with a win against ninth-placed Udinese.

The hosts have the best defensive record in the league, with 11 goals conceded being the lowest such record in Serie A.

Despite their position in the top half, Udinese have only won six and lost eight of their 16 games. In this sense, a victory for La Viola 4/7 or even a win to nil 11/8 are definitely worth considering.

However, I will side with the hosts by betting on Moise Kean to score.

The former Everton player is in good form and has already scored nine goals in Serie A this season, including 13 in all competitions.

Remarkably, his last three home starts have yielded six goals, so he should relish facing the worst defense in the Top 12. Udinese have conceded several goals in four of their five games against the current top six and against the middle class. Table Roma and struggling Venezia.

The choice of referee was also noted in advance, with Matteo Marcenaro taking charge.

His average of 5.2 yellows per game puts him fourth on the cards in Serie A this season, and if that small sample of five games isn’t enough for you, he also ranked eighth in the entire 2023/24 season.

Adding in his Serie B games, he has hit the 5.5 card bet (here 23/20) in seven of his eight games this season.

Only three Serie A teams have received more cards than Udinese, but since Fiorentina are only in the middle of this particular table, I’ll take the safer option and add over 4.5 cards to our bet builder.

The last game takes place at the Foulmarkt, where Jaka Bijol receives a promise from the guests to commit at least one foul.

The Slovenian centre-back has now committed a foul in eight of his last nine appearances, while he has managed a foul in 14 of 18 games throughout the season.

He will be facing Kean here, and the striker is Fiorentina’s most fouled player per game, drawing 1.73 fouls per game on average. He has been fouled more than twice in most of his appearances this season.

Back Moise Kean scoring more than 4.5 cards and Jaka Bijol committing more than 1 foul at around 9/2

Stake: 161 points, returned: 166.93 points, win/loss: +5.93 points

Profit and loss statement 2023/24: +16.78 points. Profit and loss statement 2022/23: +68.69 points