NFC playoff picture: Top seed now a two-team race

NFC playoff picture: Top seed now a two-team race

There are just two weeks left in the 2024 NFL regular season, and thanks to how a few things played out last week, we’ve gotten a bit of clarity on the NFC playoff situation. There’s a lot to discuss, so let’s get into it.

As we’ve done over the past few weeks, here’s a look at exactly how the playoff picture is currently shaping up in the NFC, along with some odds from our friends at FanDuel.

No. 1 seed – Detroit Lions (13-2, 1st place NFC North, playoff berth secured, -290 for division win, +450 for Super Bowl win)

The Lions beat the Bears on Sunday, and this time they didn’t even need a complete collapse from Chicago’s coaching staff to get it done. Progress! It’s worth noting that the split isn’t complete yet, but we’ll get into that in more detail in a moment. You remain in the driver’s seat for now.

Opponent of the week 17: in San Francisco (Monday evening)

Number 2 seed – Philadelphia Eagles (12-3, 1st place NFC East, secured playoff spot, +650 to win the Super Bowl)

The Eagles effectively eliminated themselves from the race for first place in the NFC with their loss to Washington on Sunday. They just need one more win to clinch the East and finish the season at home against Dallas and New York. So there’s no reason to believe they won’t be the No. 2 seed in this year’s NFC postseason party. I’m not even sure there’s a scenario where they could jump to No. 1, since Minnesota and Detroit can’t both lose and I believe they lose a tiebreaker with either one.

Opponent of the week 17: vs. Dallas (late Sunday)

#3 seed – Los Angeles Rams (9-6, 1st place NFC West, -750 for division win, +2800 for Super Bowl win)

Thanks to Seattle’s loss to Minnesota, the Rams now have a lead over the rest of the NFC West. This is still a team that no one wants to see in the playoffs, even if the offense has been significantly less dynamic in recent weeks. Will their season finale against Seattle at SoFi Stadium mean anything? That remains to be seen.

Opponent of the week 17: vs. Arizona (late Saturday)

No. 4 seed – Atlanta Falcons (8-7, 1st place NFC South, +115 to win the division, +9000 to win the Super Bowl)

Yes, the Falcons managed to push Tampa Bay back to the top of the NFC South thanks to their win over New York on Sunday and Tampa’s tumble against Dallas on Sunday night. Atlanta faces a difficult task on Sunday night, but it’s important to remember that they currently have a tiebreaker advantage over Tampa due to their head-to-head matchup. Oh, and they’re also facing a quarterback change.

Opponent of week 17: in Washington (Sunday Night Football)

No. 5 seed – Minnesota Vikings (13-2, 2nd place NFC North, secured playoff spot, +240 to win the division, +1100 to win the Super Bowl)

Again, the Vikings control their own destiny. If they win their final two games, they’ll be the top seed in the NFC regardless of what everyone else does. They also face the league’s toughest schedule in the final two weeks, as both are divisional games and the NFC North is by far the best division in the NFL this year. If they make it, they will certainly have earned their place.

Opponent of the week 17: against Green Bay (Sunday morning)

No. 6 seed – Green Bay Packers (10-4, 3rd place NFC North, +1300 to win the Super Bowl)

I don’t think the Packers actually have a chance to win the division at this point, but they can clinch a playoff spot on Monday night. If they lose, they will try to hold off Washington for the playoff berth as well. She should They’ll find their way to the postseason at some point here, but they’re not there yet. If the Packers lose on Monday night, they will drop to seventh place due to a worse conference record than Washington.

Opponent of the week 16/17: against New Orleans (Monday Night Football)/in Minnesota (Sunday morning)

No. 7 seed – Washington Commanders (10-5, 2nd place NFC East, +2700 to win the Super Bowl)

Well, the Commanders did everything they needed to do to maintain their division chances with their thrilling win over the Eagles on Sunday. The decks are really against it happening, but there’s still a small chance. Still, it’s an impressive feat that the Commanders made the playoffs, and they could look forward to a third-round tie with the Eagles on Wild Card weekend.

Opponent of the week 17: vs. Atlanta (Sunday Night Football)


Look from the outside in

No. 8 seed – Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8-7, 2nd place NFC South, ahead of Seattle based on conference record)

Opponent of the week 17: against Carolina (Sunday morning)

No. 9 seed – Seattle Seahawks (8-7, 2nd place NFC West)

Opponent of the week 17: in Chicago (Thursday Night Football)

No. 10 seed – Dallas Cowboys (7-8, 3rd place NFC East, eliminated from playoff contention)

Opponent of the week 17: in Philadelphia (late Sunday)

No. 11 seed – Arizona Cardinals (7-8, 3rd place NFC West, eliminated from playoff contention)

Opponent of week 17: at the Los Angeles Rams (Saturday night)

No. 12 seed – San Francisco 49ers (6-9, 4th place NFC West, eliminated from playoff contention)

Opponent of the week 17: vs. Detroit (Monday Night Football)

No. 13 seed – New Orleans Saints (5-9, 3rd place NFC South, eliminated from playoff contention)

Opponent of the week 16/17: at Green Bay (Monday night football)/against Las Vegas (Sunday morning)

No. 14 seed – Chicago Bears (4-11, 4th place NFC North, eliminated from playoff contention)

Opponent of the week 17: vs. Seattle (Thursday Night Football)

No. 15 seed – Carolina Panthers (4-11, 4th place NFC South, eliminated from playoff contention)

Opponent of week 17: in Tampa Bay (Sunday morning)

No. 16 seed – New York Giants (2-13, 4th place NFC East, eliminated from playoff contention)

Opponent of the week 17: against Indianapolis (Sunday morning)


That’s a complete look at the playoff picture in the NFC, folks. It will be an exciting last two weeks of the season. . .well, for some teams anyway.

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