NFL Week 14 Tips, Odds

Matt Ehalt, Post Sports Gambling Editor/Producer and Digital Sports Editor, is in his first season with the NFL Bettor’s Guide.

New Orleans Saints (-4.5) over NEW YORK GIANTS

The Giants have failed to cover in seven straight games and are banged up across the board.

They create Drew Lock.

Malik Nabers has been mediocre since his electric start.

The defense just lost its best player in Dexter Lawrence. There’s not much to like.

The Saints may not be good, but they won two in a row before losing by one point to the Rams and are still in the NFC South mix despite a 4-8 record.

It also feels like an “Alvin Kamara won my fantasy match” week, with the dual-threat back going up against the NFL’s fourth-worst rushing defense.

Don’t think about it too much.

Fade a Giant team whose eyes are already set on 2025 — and perhaps the No. 1 seed — and support the team for whom the game actually has meaning.

They burned us down last week, but we’ll take on the Falcons again.

Minnesota tends to play close games, with eight of its 10 wins coming by 10 points or fewer.

Three of the Vikings’ last four wins have come by margins of no more than five points, including narrow triumphs against the weak Jaguars and Bears.

The Falcons desperately need a win after last week’s blunder, and let’s not forget that this is a “revenge game” for Kirk Cousins.

The Vikings have moved on from Cousins and you can be sure he’ll want to show them he’s still got it.

Plus, you have to imagine he’s recovering from last week’s terrible four-interception game.

Minnesota ranks fifth in passing yards allowed per game, which should help keep this game close.

Last week: 1-1. Falcons (L), Broncos (F)
Season: 10-16.