The New Orleans Pelicans play the second leg of a back-to-back set against the visiting Denver Nuggets, and the home team will look to end their six-game losing streak with a win tonight.

My Nuggets vs. Pelicans predictions are that Nikola Jokic will help his team bounce back with a strong performance. Read my NBA tips to learn why you should take a chance on Jokic’s plus-money combo prop.

Nuggets vs Pelicans Prediction

My best choice
Nikola Jokic scores a triple-double (+200 at bet365)

My analysis
Nikola Jokic leads the NBA in triple-doubles with 10 in 22 appearances during the 2024-25 season. That represents 45.5% of his games this season. The +200 odds on this prop provide an implied probability of 33.3%, meaning we’re getting him at a great price based on his performance this season.

Jokic ranks third in the NBA all-time in triple-doubles with 140 through 697 games. That’s good for one every five games. Of his 140 triple-doubles, most (10) came against the New Orleans Pelicans in 29 career matchups. This includes eight of his last ten in this direct duel.

Jokic has recorded single-digit rebounds in two of his last three, but he’s in a great position to turn things around. The Pelicans have allowed the most rebounds to centers this season with 17.38. Over the last seven games, New Orleans has allowed opposing centers to grab 18.83 rebounds per game. During that span, the Pels have allowed centers to dish out the sixth-most assists.

New Orleans has been beaten by big players this season, and Jokic – who is averaging 31 points, 12.9 rebounds and 9.8 assists – should be able to record his 11th triple-double of the season. The Nuggets suffered a tough loss to Portland on Thursday and I expect a strong performance from him as he looks to get his team back on track.

Nuggets vs. Pelicans, same game play

Nikola Jokic achieves a triple-double

Pelicans +9.5

Tves Missi Over 9.5 rebounds

The Nuggets have been up and down all season and it’s difficult to see them reach double digits on the road, especially after suffering losses to the Blazers and Wizards in recent games. New Orleans is showing signs of improvement as they get healthier, and considering how well they played at home compared to their performance on the road, I expect them to impress tonight.

New Orleans’ rookie center has averaged 8.5 rebounds in 26.1 minutes per game this season. In his last 12 games, he averaged 12.3 points and 10.7 rebounds in 29.9 minutes. During this period, Missi has scored in double figures eight times, a mark he achieved in a total of twelve games this season.

In the last seven games, the Nuggets have allowed the second-most rebounds to centers. Missi will need to play big minutes against Denver’s jumbo lineup of Michael Porter Jr., Aaron Gordon and Nikola Jokic, and I expect him to hit the over with that prop.

Learn how to place a bet in the same game with these helpful tips and strategies.

Nuggets vs Pelicans odds

Nuggets vs Pelicans live odds

Nuggets vs Pelicans opening odds

• Spread: Denver -10 | New Orleans +10
• Money line: Denver -450 | New Orleans +350
• Over/Under: Over 2323 | Below 232

Odds courtesy of bet365.

Nuggets vs. Pelicans spread and over/under analysis

• Denver has won and covered three of four games, increasing the team’s record to 14-11 in a row and 10-14-1 ATS.
• New Orleans has lost nine games and covered four of 10, and the Pels are 5-24 and 10-19 ATS.
• The Nuggets have reached the over in six of their last 10 games and 16 of 25 games this season.
• The Pelicans have hit the under in three of four games, and the team is 13-15-1 against the under in 29 games.

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The home team has won and covered in each of the last four meetings. Find more NBA betting trends for Nuggets vs. Pelicans.

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