The Golden State Warriors have won just three of their last 10 games, falling to 7th place in the Western Conference at 14-15 heading into Monday’s matchup against Tyrese Haliburton and the Indiana Pacers.

Indiana is playing for the second straight night after defeating the Sacramento Kings on Sunday in Sacramento. The Pacers appear to be finding their footing after a slow start, winning four straight games to move up to 8th place in the East.

However, Indiana struggled overall on the road during the 2024-25 season, going just 6-11 and posting one of the worst away net ratings in the NBA.

Does that change compared to Steph Curry and Co.?

The Warriors have listed two key rotation players – Draymond Green and Moses Moody – as questionable for Monday’s matchup.

With that in mind, here is a breakdown of the odds for this game, some players to keep an eye on in the prop market, and my prediction from December 23rd.

Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook.

Spread

Money line

In total

Pacers injury report

Warriors injury report

Indiana Pacers Best NBA Prop Bet

All season long I’ve been saying to fade Tyrese Haliburton on the road as he’s shooting just 39.2 percent from the field and 31.0 percent from three while averaging 15.3 points away from Gainbridge Fieldhouse achieved per game.

In two consecutive away games he failed to score 16.5 points, but since yesterday his score has dropped from 18.5 to 16.5.

So I buy cheap.

Despite his struggles on the road, Hali has scored 17 or more points in five of his last seven road games. He attempted just nine and 10 shots in his last two games, so a little increase in volume might be in order on Monday night.

I don’t mind taking the All-Star guard at a discounted price tonight.

Golden State Warriors best NBA prop bet

The Pacers are in the middle of the pack when it comes to opponent assists per game (14th), and Curry is averaging 6.5 assists per game this season.

That number is a bit low for Steph, especially considering that Draymond Green could (questionably) miss this game – which opens up more opportunities to play. Curry has scored at least 10 dimes in two of his last three contests.

It will be important to look at the injury reports for this game to see if Indiana can sit anyone out on the second night of a matchup, but I like the Pacers as dogs in this matchup.

They are now 5-5 against the underdog team on the road this season and have won four games in a row to boot.

Golden State enters this matchup as home favorites at just 4-4 and wins these games by an average margin of 3.5 points per game.

Additionally, the Warriors have slipped out of the NBA’s top 10 in net rating due to their recent play.

With Draymond Green up in the air this time, I don’t mind going with the Pacers for the points.

Pick: Pacers +5.5 (-108)

Odds are updated regularly and are subject to change.

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Find Peter Deweys NBA betting record here (Futures included). You can also follow my daily pieces on BetStamp here.