Bowling Green and Arkansas State meet in the 68 Ventures Bowl at Hancock Whitney Stadium tonight at 9 p.m. ET (ESPN).

• As part of our college bowl game predictions this week, our Arkansas State vs. Bowling Green prediction backs the Falcons
• Bowling Green star tight end Harold Fannin Jr. is expected to play
• The Falcons haven’t won a bowl game since 2014

Our college football bowl game opt-out tracker provides you with the latest opt-out news and college bowl game odds implications.

Line movement Arkansas State vs. Bowling Green

Bowling Green was the 6.5-point favorite in our top sports betting apps, but the line continued to move in that direction as most books had the Falcons at -10.

Only 42% of the money goes to Arkansas State, with 58% supporting the Falcons. The total number of games has increased from 49 to 53.5, with 64% of the money on the over.

Arkansas State vs. Bowling Green Prediction & Best Pick: 68 Ventures Bowl

College football tips based on odds from our top college football betting sites. Odds are subject to change.

• Against the spread pick: Bowling Green -7.5 (-120 via FanDuel) vs. Arkansas State ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
• My top choice: Connor Bazelak Under 216.5 yards (-115 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Arkansas State vs. Bowling Green ATS Prediction

Bowling Green to cover the spread: -7.5 ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: -120 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 54.55%

Even though the Falcons are suffering a bigger loss than Arkansas State, they have a chance to take advantage of one of the worst defenses in the country (124th in total defense).

Bowling Green, on the other hand, ranks 20th nationally in total defense. This is a spread that we think should be in the double digits, so we like the value of betting on the Falcons.

Battle-hardened hawks retain their courage

Although Bowling Green lost its regular season finale to Miami (OH), it previously had a streak of five straight wins by more than 10 points. During non-conference games, the Falcons played Penn State and Texas A&M and nearly pulled off two upsets, which ultimately resulted in one-possession losses.

Arkansas State, meanwhile, ranks 116th in overall adjusted efficiency and picked up six of its seven paltry wins against FCS opponents or teams ranked outside the top 100 in the metric.

Arkansas State vs. Bowling Green best choice

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Connor Bazelak Under 216.5 Passing Yards ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: -115 via bet365 | Implied probability: 53.49%

When it comes to player support, look to take advantage of Arkansas State on the ground defense, as the Red Wolves allow a whopping 225.5 rushing yards per game, ranking 131st out of 134 FBS teams in that category.

However, since Bowling Green will be without lead running back Terion Stewart in this bowl game, there are currently no Falcons rushing props on the props market.

In our view, Bowling Green will likely be successful on the floor regardless of who is running the ball. That’s why we’re going to weaken the quarterback’s involvement.

A projected positive run of play for the Falcons could see Connor Bazelak surpass his passing mark of 216.5 yards, a mark he has only surpassed once in his last five games.

Arkansas State vs. Bowling Green odds

Check out all of this week’s college football odds and NCAAF results.

Arkansas State vs Bowling Green live odds

Arkansas State vs. Bowling Green opening odds:

• Arkansas State: +6.5 (-110)
• Bowling Green: -6.5 (-110)

Arkansas State vs. Bowling Green injuries

68 Ventures Bowl game information

• When: Thursday, December 26th
• Start: 9pm ET
• Where: Hancock Whitney Stadium (Mobile, Alabama)
• How to watch: ESPN
• Weather: 62 degrees, 7% chance of precipitation, wind 9 mph east
• Favorite: Bowling Green -7.5 (-120 via FanDuel)

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