December 28th 2024

Saturday morning report

Here is our wet weekend. The good news is that we improved our air quality yesterday with the polluted haze, but we offset that with the rain and fog. Given this wet weather pattern, we will have a few dry hours this weekend as a second storm forms. As a result, temperatures will rise on Sunday and there will be heavier rain; thunderstorms are possible on Sunday night.

Looking ahead to next week, another storm will bring rain on New Year’s Eve, followed by the start of what I expected to be a very cold spell in January.

CLIMATE DATA: Baltimore

TODAY December 28th

Sunrise at 7:25 a.m

Sunset at 4:52 p.m

Normal low in Baltimore: 27°F

record temperature of 10°F in 1950; 2017

Normal high temperature in Baltimore: 45°F

Record 74ºF in 1946

Baltimore Drought Update

• 8.13 inches BELOW AVERAGE precipitation since September 1st
• 8.61 inches BELOW AVERAGE precipitation since January 1st

Morning surface weather

The line of rain that passed through overnight is moving east and tapering off into showers. Later it will pulsate again and there will be more rain.

Severe storm risk: A tornado outbreak and large hailstorms in central Louisiana and Mississippi. This outlook corresponds to level 4 out of 5. So don’t be fooled by the moderate risk category.

This will signal energy flowing into the second storm heading our way later on Sunday.

Live radar widget

Radar simulation 8:00 a.m. to midnight

There is a line of deformation that will pulse with more showers and more consistent rain later today and tonight.

Snapshot in the afternoon

Afternoon temperatures

Tonight

SUNDAY, DECEMBER 29

Scattered showers may occur in the morning, but the bulk of the rain will arrive in the afternoon and night.

Thunderstorms are possible, but the serious risk should remain to our south, potentially affecting parts of Virginia.

Morning temperatures

Morning radar

Afternoon temperatures

Radar simulation in the afternoon

Radar forecast animation: 2:00 p.m. to midnight

Midnight snapshot

This product can often be an hour slow…but we can expect a squall line with downpours and perhaps thunder overnight.

Total precipitation potential through Monday morning

Looking ahead

Storm animation: Tuesday morning through Thursday morning

This is the beginning of the pattern change. It will rain on New Year’s Eve.

Snapshot New Year’s Eve

Snapshot: Thursday

The leading edge of colder air begins to flow in.

Jet stream: Tuesday to Friday

This is just the beginning of the pattern change. After that, a deeper supply of Arctic air is expected.

Friday, January 3rd

There is colder air and we are preparing for more to come.

7 day forecast

A significant shift from warmer and moister air to colder air. The possibility of a thunderstorm Sunday evening might be worth keeping an eye on…winter weather folklore suggests snow could follow within a week.

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WINTER OUTLOOK

My winter outlook report

FITF equipment on offer

In case you missed that

The Faith In The Flakes December 5th Origin story

In case you missed it:

Snow report from November 22nd

Please share your thoughts and pictures/videos of the best weather or just stay in touch via social media.

Plan for a weather-dependent stem assembly

Severe Weather: Storm Smart October and Next Spring Winter Weather FITF (Faith in the Flakes): November through March Click here to see more and submit an inquiry for your school.

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REPEATING MY MESSAGE ON THE TOPIC OF LEGEND

I understand that there are some spelling and grammatical errors, as well as occasional other errors. I take responsibility for my mistakes and even the computer errors I may miss. I’ve made a few public statements over the years, but if you’re new here you may have missed it: I have dyslexia and found out about it in my sophomore year at Cornell University. However, that didn’t stop me from getting my degree in meteorology and being the first to receive the AMS CBM in the Baltimore/Washington area. One of my professors told me that I had made it this far without knowing it and that I shouldn’t let it be a crutch for the future. That was Mark Wysocki, and he was absolutely right! I miss my mistakes when proofreading myself. The automatic spell checker on my computer sometimes misses the mark and makes the problem worse. I can also make mistakes in forecasting. Nobody is perfect at predicting the future. All maps and information are correct. The “wordy” stuff can get sticky. There was no editor to review my work when writing and have it ready to ship in a newsworthy time frame. Barbara Werner is a member of the web team that helps me maintain this website. She has made it her mission to correct typos when available. That could be AFTER you read this. I accept that and perhaps prove that what you read is really mine… It’s part of my charm. #FITF