A trip to the NBA Cup Finals is on the cards Saturday night when Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and the top-seeded Oklahoma City Thunder take on the Houston Rockets for the second time this season and first time in an NBA Cup tournament.

This matchup will take place in Las Vegas on neutral ground, but the Thunder are considered favorites (they are considered the home team) after defeating the Dallas Mavericks in the quarterfinals on Tuesday night.

When it comes to betting on this game, I’m not a big fan of taking either side as both teams have done well against the spread in the 2024-25 season. Houston is 5-2 ATS as an underdog and OKC is 14-9 ATS as a favorite.

Instead, I’m looking at the prop market for two bets to make between the top two teams in the West at this point in the season

Let’s break them down!

Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander made OVER 2.5 3-pointers (+126)

SGA is now averaging 30.2 points per game, and he’s done it by hitting the most 3-pointers of his career – by a wide margin.

The MVP candidate shot just 3.6 times from distance per game last season, but that number has increased to 6.3 this season. He’s hitting an average of 2.1 3s per game – good for a 34.0 percent margin – heading into this matchup with Houston.

While that’s not a particularly high percentage, SGA has made two or more three-point shots in 15 of its 24 games this season. He also made five 3-pointers against Dallas on Tuesday and has made three or more shots from deep in five of his last eight games – including a 3-for-7 performance against Houston.

Over that eight-game stretch, SGA is shooting 34.4 percent from deep, but he is taking 8.0 shots per game from there.

Alperen Sengun OVER 10.5 rebounds (-115)

Houston Rockets big man Alperen Sengun competed against Golden State on Wednesday and scored 26 of the team’s 91 points while grabbing 11 rebounds. He also handed out five dimes and picked up three steals in the win.

So far this season, Sengun’s scoring is down a bit compared to last season, but he is averaging an impressive 10.6 rebounds per game. I plan to support him at the prop market there on Saturday.

Oklahoma City is a great defensive team, but it struggles on the glass, allowing 47.9 rebounds per game (29th in the NBA) and ranking 28th in the league in rebound percentage.

Earlier this season, Sengun had 14 boards in a win over OKC and he has had 17 games (of 25) with at least 10 boards. That gives him a great head start when it comes to this prop on Saturday night.

Odds are updated regularly and are subject to change.

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Find Peter Deweys NBA betting record here (Futures included). You can also follow my daily pieces on BetStamp here.