The Texas State Bobcats and the South Alabama Jaguars meet Friday in a college football game at Hancock Whitney Stadium. Here’s a prediction between South Alabama and Texas State. We’ll look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best choice between South Alabama and Texas State.

Texas State Bobcats betting preview

Texas State went 4-2 in the first six games, beating Lamar, UTSA, Troy and Arkansas State. The Bobcats would lose to Old Dominion and Louisiana in the next pair before wins against LA-Monroe and Southern Miss.

In Saturday’s game against Georgia State, the Bobcats started strong but gave up 38 points in the first half and ultimately lost 52-44. Jordan McCloud threw for 302 yards, three scores and two picks. Leading receiver Jaden Williams added seven catches for 91 yards.

South Alabama Jaguars betting preview

Over on the South Alabama side, they went just 2-4 in their first half dozen games, losing to North Texas, Ohio, LSU and Arkansas State. However, the Jags went on a 3-1 run over the next four games, beating Troy, LA-Monroe and Louisiana during that time.

In last weekend’s game against Southern Miss, the Jaguars trailed 8-0 early but rallied with 28 points in the second and third quarters for a 35-14 win. Gio Lopez had 193 passing yards with three touchdowns, while Fluff Bothwell led the rush with six carries for 104 yards and a TD.

Why the South Alabama Jaguars will win

• Texas State has lost 15 of its last 18 road games in November.
• South Alabama has won four of its last five games.
• The home team has covered the spread in each of the last four games between Texas State and South Alabama.
• Texas State has failed to even out the spread in three of its last four road games in November against teams not ranked in the AP.

Why the Texas State Bobcats will win

• South Alabama has lost each of its last six games as a home underdog.
• The road team has won each of South Alabama’s last three games.
• South Alabama has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last nine games in November against teams not ranked in the AP.
• Texas State has evened the spread in three of its last four games in November against teams not ranked in the AP.

Total score facts

• Seven of Texas State’s last eight games in November against teams not ranked in the AP have exceeded the point total.
• Each of South Alabama’s last five games as an underdog came UNDER the total score.

South Alabama vs. Texas State Prediction

I’m leaning towards south Alabama. The Jaguars pulled off a nice win over Southern Miss in their last game despite only holding the ball 21-12 and posting an ugly 3-of-10 success rate on third downs. South Alabama has done pretty well overall on offense in its last five games, scoring 24 or more points in each of its last five games (a 4-1 run).

As for Texas State, they put up 459 yards (302 passes) in their loss to Georgia State, but were hurt by four turnovers and going 3-of-13 on third-down conversions. The defense, on the other hand, allowed 504 yards (219 rushing). The Bobcats have put up 38 or more points themselves in three straight games, so it looks like a high point total with both teams tied. However, I like the Jags a little better in the home game/home win.