BRYAN, Texas (KBTX) – After a stormy Christmas Eve, we’ll get a brief respite for Christmas Day before the atmosphere triggers more storms on Thursday.

SET UP:

A warm and humid air mass will linger over the Brazos Valley for the remainder of 2024, providing a favorable environment for active weather. A deep low-pressure system will move over North Texas Thursday afternoon, helping to kick-start storms as a cold front trails behind. While there is a risk of severe weather throughout the Brazos Valley, there is a greater risk east of Highway 6.

TIMING:

Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are expected to begin Thursday morning. The amount of rain we receive earlier in the day will be a key factor in the intensity of the afternoon/evening storms. With this in mind, model data is available as of Wednesday evening that suggests storms will increase throughout the afternoon before moving eastward toward the evening.

EFFECTS:

The development of a thunderstorm requires three key ingredients: moisture, instability and lift. All of this will happen across the Brazos Valley on Thursday. A fourth ingredient often associated with severe weather is also present – ​​shear. Strong low-altitude shear will promote the development of damaging winds and hail, along with rotating supercells that can produce tornadoes. All serious dangers are possible. While this is not a widespread problem, we will be monitoring it very closely.

Please have several options for receiving weather alerts on Thursday. Your KBTX weather app is an excellent resource. Just make sure your location and notifications are turned on!

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