Tesla vehicle deliveries in the fourth quarter disappoint estimates – inventories fall before the market

Tesla vehicle deliveries in the fourth quarter disappoint estimates – inventories fall before the market

Topline

Tesla fell short of expectations in its first key data point of the new year on Thursday, as Elon Musk’s trillion-dollar automaker faces a rollercoaster ride in 2024, hit by stagnant growth in its core electric vehicle business and a strong stock market rally after Victory is marked by President-elect Donald Trump, a close confidant of Musk, the richest man in the world.

Important facts

Tesla delivered 495,570 electric vehicles to customers in the fourth quarter of 2024, the company announced Thursday morning.

That’s below analysts’ consensus forecast of 498,000 deliveries, according to FactSet.

Compared to the final quarter of 2023, fourth-quarter deliveries rose 2.3%, marking Tesla’s second consecutive quarter of year-over-year growth.

Shares of Tesla fell 4% in premarket trading following the release, with delivery data typically a trigger for the often volatile stock.

Big number

1.79 million. That’s how many cars Tesla delivered in 2024, 1.1% below the record 1.81 million in 2023. According to FactSet data, Tesla had reported annual growth of at least 35% since 2016.

What you should pay attention to

Tesla will report its fourth quarter results on January 29th. Wall Street consensus forecasts point to mixed results, with record revenue of $99.7 billion and net income of $8.1 billion, the weakest full-year result since 2021.

Important background

In the second and third quarters of 2024 Tesla suffered a year-over-year decline in deliveries for the first time since 2020, contributing to its stock market lull. But the stock price soared 63% in 2024 as investors shifted their focus from the struggling core electric vehicle business to the potential for Tesla’s autonomous driving initiatives, which will likely face a much more favorable regulatory environment under Trump.

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