Even within a single NBA game, there are numerous betting markets.

You can bet on traditional markets like the spread or total, but we also have plenty of player prop markets to browse.

Which bets stand out today as the Philadelphia 76ers take on the Golden State Warriors?

Let’s look at the best bets in FanDuel Sportsbook’s NBA betting odds and use FanDuel Research’s NBA predictions to find value.

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76ers at Warriors Betting Tips

Stephen Curry made threes under 4.5 (-125)

There are some key potential injuries in this matchup that make it difficult for me to find value in the core game markets.

One of those injuries actually involves Stephen Curry (questionable due to a sprained right thumb).

However, the fact that the Warriors are favored suggests Curry will likely be there. If that changes, we must adapt.

But as it stands, Curry has put up points, including a point average of 23.5, which he hasn’t reached in three of his last four games and in four of his last six.

And he also has a 4.5 three-point support that looks too high.

Curry faces a 76ers team that is about NBA average in defensive rating but slower than the Warriors – and most NBA teams, as they rank 28th in pace. This results in the opponents being given poor shot volume.

Philadelphia is only allowing 83.7 field goal attempts per game, third fewest in the entire NBA. They allowed the ninth-fewest three-point attempts per game, and Curry is now dealing with a thumb injury on his shooting hand.

In 11 games against teams that allow a last 10 three-point attempt volume, Curry averaged 4.5 three-pointers on 10.6 attempts per game. He has hit 5 or more triples in 5 of those 11 games (45.5%).

Since the beginning of December, Curry has made 4 or fewer three-pointers in 7 of 11 games (63.6%).

Tyrese Maxey over 30.5 points + assists (-111)

Kelly Oubre is questionable for today’s game after missing Wednesday’s action.

In last night’s game, Tyrese Maxey scored 27 points and 6 assists in 42 minutes of play.

Tonight he faces a Warriors team that has an above-average number of assists and three-point attempts.

Maxey and the 76ers are also seeing a boost in pace, as the Warriors are 10th in pace.

Against top-10 teams in pace, Maxey averages 29.9 points plus assists – albeit with unusually poor shooting. In fact, he’s shooting just 31.0% from distance in this seven-game split, compared to his 38.5% three-point rate since the start of the 2022-23 season.

If he matched his three-year averages from distance, from 2-point range, and from beyond the arc, he would be scoring 28.3 points per game in this split, rather than just the 24.9 he actually converted.

He also averages 9.3 potential assists with 5.0 actual assists in this sample (versus 5.9 if the 76ers converted his passes at their usual rate this year).

The actual P/E ratio of 29.9 would therefore be 34.2 if the regression was based on longer samples.

Philadelphia 76ers first quarter spread +0.5 (-106)

Overall, my model views the core markets as efficient, assuming Curry plays and Oubre doesn’t.

One area that looks interesting, however, is the first quarter market, as these two teams have started their meetings quite differently this season.

Overall, the Warriors have a first quarter point differential of -0.8 (18th in the NBA) and the 76ers have a +0.4 advantage.

But let’s look at the location breakdowns.

The 76ers have largely started on the road this season and have a first quarter point differential of +1.9, which puts them sixth in the NBA.

The Warriors now have a -1.4 differential in the first quarter of home games. That’s 24th in the league.

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The above author is an employee of FanDuel and is not authorized to participate in public daily fantasy contests or place sports bets on FanDuel. The author’s advice does not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel. Following the author’s advice is not a guarantee of a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports bets.

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