Even within a single NBA game, there are numerous betting markets.

You can bet on traditional markets like the spread or total, but we also have plenty of player prop markets to browse.

Which bets stand out today as the Boston Celtics take on the Denver Nuggets?

Let’s look at the best bets in FanDuel Sportsbook’s NBA betting odds and use FanDuel Research’s NBA predictions to find value.

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Celtics at Nuggets betting tips

Celtics -5.5 (-106)

As a basketball fan, I hope this game goes all the way to the end. We’re only granted two installations of the Celtics against Nikola Jokic each year, and the NBA could use a nationally televised barnburner.

That being said, I can root for Boston to cover a 5.5 point spread – although I’ll only be there if Derrick White can play (due to illness). White felt a late addition to the injury report was questionable.

The Celtics have a net rating of +10.2 on the road while the Nuggets have a net rating of +3.8 at home.

Denver’s defense allows the sixth-most three-point attempts (3PA) and the eighth-most three-point attempts (3PM) per game. You might not be able to get past the Celtics, a team that shoots a league-leading 50.2 three-pointers every night.

We know that Boston will have Kristaps Porzingis, Sam Hauser, Jrue Holiday, Al Horford and Payton Pritchard available tonight in addition to their two All-Stars. All of these people can do it from downtown, but the same can’t be said in Denver. The Nuggets are the lowest in the league in three-point percentage (31.1 3PA) and will have a hard time keeping up if Boston’s shooters have any value.

In addition, Aaron Gordon (Wade) is not there for tonight. Ahead of Jokic, he leads the Nuggets in net rating.

As mentioned, I wouldn’t put any money on the Celtics until we hear about Derrick White’s status. Boston’s ball movement without White tends to be unwatchable, and there’s no denying the impact he makes on defense.

The Celtics had a 6.0-point advantage on FanDuel before White was placed on the injury report. It should go back to that number if White is ruled out, and I’m perfectly fine betting on it. Otherwise, I’ll stick with betting on player props here.

Payton Pritchard scores more than 15 points (+130)

Payton Pritchard’s score rose from 11.5 to 13.5 following the Derrick White news. It’s probably best to wait for confirmation of White’s status before placing this bet, as Pritchard’s chances of scoring 15 points only increase if White ends up being ruled out.

With that out of the way, let’s talk about why I’m happy to pick Pritchard at 15 tonight.

He is averaging 15.2 points per game and has scored at least 15 points in 61.1% of games this season, an implied probability of 43.5% at these +130 odds.

As mentioned, the Nuggets make the sixth-most three-pointers per game. Pritchard shoots a gigantic 8.4 3PA off the bench and drills them at a 42.4% clip. Denver also plays at the fifth-fastest pace in the NBA, which provides the backdrop for this game’s high over/under rating of 236.5. Pritchard has scored 15 points in 63.6% of his games against the league’s fastest 15 teams.

In a game without White, Pritchard scored 24 points against a stout Cleveland Cavaliers defense.

Nikola Jokic records more than 12 rebounds (-125)

Boston has many strengths, but rebounding is not one of them. They are in the middle of the pack in 14th place in rebound rate and have the 11th most defensive rebounds per game.

Jokic collects 13.0 rebounds in each game. He has grabbed at least 12 boards in 61.3% of games this season. When facing teams outside the top 10 in rebounding, he has 13.5 rebounds and has grabbed at least 12 boards at a rate of 70.0%.

Boston also allows the fifth-most rebounds to opposing centers. Jokic has played 12 games against teams ranked in the top 10 in most rebounds allowed at his position. He is averaging a whopping 14.7 rebounds this split. In this split, he grabbed at least 14 rebounds (66.7%) in 8 of 12 games.

In this sense I will also support you Jokic recorded more than 14 rebounds at a rate of +190which only implies a 34.5% probability.

Kristaps Porzingis 3+ made threes (+170)

Last but not least, we should pay attention to Kristaps Porzingis being able to hit three triples.

Porzingis shot a lot of threes; They just can’t get in. He is 4.7% below his long-term three-point average. Based on his long-term shooting averages – and his three-point volume this season – he should average 2.3 three-pointers per game.

A regression could be imminent against Denver, which ranks 22nd in three-point shots allowed at center. Porzingis has played against teams ranked 20th (Chicago Bulls), 27th (Cleveland Cavaliers) and 28th (Memphis Grizzlies) in this split. He made two three-pointers in all three games against the Bulls. He then prevailed from downtown with 3:7 and 3:10 against the Cavs and the Grizzlies.

In a game where Porzingis is primed to shoot anywhere between six and eight threes, I’m going for a +170 probability that he can hit three threes.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not authorized to participate in public daily fantasy contests or place sports bets on FanDuel. The author’s advice does not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel. Following the author’s advice is not a guarantee of a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports bets.

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