The dollar’s repayment ahead of prices is greater than normal, raising concerns about inflation

The dollar’s repayment ahead of prices is greater than normal, raising concerns about inflation

It is a dollar that costs R$ 6 because it is a cause of concern about inflation, or at a certain point it takes more time because the devaluation of Brazilian money is worth more to the consumer’s prices. Oh Chamado go through The main decoration of the current economic growth in Brazil is that the company is increasing its capacities. Due to financial policy rumors and impending inflation, which however has become worse before the scenario, our products have stopped being sold to the consumer.

In response to the move, Banco Central was asked in December by the Comitê de Política Monetária (Copom) to raise Selic by 12.25%, up more than two percentage points a year ago. No text, the colleague thought he said: “While the demand is stronger, the expectants are discouraged or the movement is most persistently considered.”

“An economy based on various current imbalances, with the intention of meeting a demand expected in the context of supply,” affirmed João Fernandes, economist at Quantitas Consultancy. “Come to the point where inflammatory effects have occurred, but we will be sure that we have nothing left to do.” In a high dollar environment, people (award winners) think about it: “You don’t have earned more than enough dollars, but we decided for you, it is better if you return it to exploit the logo.”, in detail.

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They are working today, in their inflation projection models, with a change between 8% and 10%, it is a devaluation of the 10% change by spaces, unlimited, a National Consumer Price Display (IPCA) in the next four trimesters 1.0 ponto porcentual corn alto. “Até mais ou menos 2021, esse repasse era mais baixo, between 6% and 7%,” he wrote.

Fernandes said that there are different gradations in returns depending on the type of item, as our food (14%) and industry (8%) tend to take back more than what we received from our services ( 2%). .

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Terra Investimentos economist Homero Guizzo first analyzed what happened in the following moments when the economy was on the verge of increasing its capacities, such as força aos preços ao consumers. “Since the interruption of production progress, I have managed to improve it and have not expressively accepted it, it was at a later stage of easier distribution,” confirmed Guizzo.

The calculation required to increase the temperature is 4%, but the ambient temperature is actually 8%. Our Seja, about 10% of the depreciation since the month, or the IPCA heading was 0.8 percentage points, probably close to the quantity.

As Warren Investimentos’ inflation strategist, Andréa Angelo, she was concerned not to increase this intensity, but for its speed, which was also greater.

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I said that a Warren student said that he has stopped the devaluation chain movements for the consumer requirements, that there has been no pre-pandemic period for four terms, and that he has worked in practice in the middle of a term, so few of these particular ones Cases Therefore, the correlation is greater than that of the dollar. These mainly include movements, electric drives as well as hygiene and cleaning utensils.

“We believe the moment of redemption could be bigger and faster because the economy is fluctuating so much and expects higher inflation,” he said.

This happened when prices in July and August were between R$5.55 and R$5.55 for a R$5.80 house. The recent devaluation from R$ 5.80 to R$ 6 meant that it must be sent from the first months of 2025, confirmed. A Warren Project IPCA of 4.9% in 2024 and 5.15% at the end of this year.

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An analysis confirmed by Fernandes as follows: “Most of the final devaluation was intended for inflation until 2025, along with a lot of food sent to the bad guys.” “Services are very high and continue continuously,” said the economist. It assumed a scenario in which the IPCA achieved a quota of 4.8% for 2024 and a quota of 5.5% for 2025 sendo muito influenciado pelo câmbio”, emenda.

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