Today we have a great selection of college football action with five bowl games to choose from. Let’s examine where the smart money is on two matchups tonight using our VSiN CFB betting splits, updated every 5 minutes and coming directly from DraftKings and Circa Sports.

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This is the AutoZone Liberty Bowl and it will be played at Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium in Memphis, Tennessee. Texas Tech (8-4) has won three of its last four games and just defeated West Virginia 52-15, making it the home favorite by 2.5 points. On the other hand, Arkansas (6-6) has lost three of its last four games and just lost 28-21 to Missouri, failing to cover 3-pointers.

This line opened with Arkansas listed as a 2.5-point neutral site favorite. We’ve seen a drastic line shift in Texas Tech’s favor, going from a 2.5-point dog to a 2.5-point favorite. This suggests a “dog versus favorite” line system for the Red Raiders. On DraftKings, Texas Tech receives just 49% of the spread bets but 77% of the spread dollars, indicating an undecided public but also a highly respected approach from pro bettors. Pros also appear to be targeting Texas Tech to win right on the money line (-140). On DraftKings, the Red Raiders receive 47% of the moneyline bets and 75% of the moneyline dollars. At Circa, the Red Raiders take 83% of the moneyline bets and 92% of the moneyline dollars. Both books feature the “low stakes, higher dollars” betting split in favor of a Texas Tech win.

One of the main reasons we’ve seen such a drastic change in direction toward Texas Tech is the fact that Arkansas is suffering from a plethora of opt-outs and transfers for this game. The Razorbacks will be without several key contributors on both sides of the ball, including running back Ja’Quindon Jackson and wide receiver Andrew Armstrong, who both declared for the NFL Draft.

In terms of total numbers, we saw a drastic drop from 59 to 52 after all offensive weapons missed the game. At DraftKings, the crowd is hammering the over (80% of bets and 79% of dollars). At Circa, the under receives only 35% of the bets but 57% of the dollars, a significantly contrarian betting split in favor of a lower scoring game.

This is the SRS Distribution Las Vegas Bowl and it will be played at Allegiant Stadium, home of the Las Vegas Raiders. USC (6-6) just saw its two-game winning streak come to an end as the team fell 49-35 to Notre Dame and failed to rally by 7 points at home. Meanwhile, Texas A&M (8-4) has lost three of its last four games, narrowly losing to Texas 17-7 without catching up as a 4.5-point home winner.

This line opened when Texas A&M was listed as a 1-point neutral site favorite. Pros and Joes both seem to agree that this opener was a bit short and hit the Aggies hard, pushing Texas A&M from -1 to -3. Some books even trend towards -3.5. Essentially, we saw a unilateral move in favor of Texas A&M without a buyout from USC. The Aggies are taking 74% of the spread bets on DraftKings and 60% of the spread bets on Circa. Pros are also targeting a Texas A&M outright win (-155) as they receive over 80% of the moneyline bets and dollars on DraftKings.

Once again, opt-outs played a major role in shaping this line move, as USC is without three of its top five wide receivers due to the transfer portal. The Trojans will also miss starters Woody Marks and cornerback Jaylin Smith, who both declared for the NFL Draft.

The pros targeted the over in this match and increased the total score from 50.5 to 53.5. On DraftKings, the over receives 76% of the bets and 93% of the dollars. At Circa, the over takes 91% of the bets and 99% of the dollars. Both books show a heavy stakes split along the lines of “lower stakes, higher dollars” in favor of a higher scoring game.