We wait for our next storm

We wait for our next storm

So far so good since it snowed around Thanksgiving. We hope to continue a more moderate pattern through the end of this week and into part of the weekend.

THE BIG PICTURE

The prevailing weather pattern in the United States features large-scale troughs in the east and prominent ridges in the northwest. Colorado sits in the middle of these two regimes.

Our weather has been mainly a dry, northwesterly flow with a few fronts here and there to keep temperatures up and down a bit, but not too much.

We don’t expect any major changes over the next few days as this weather pattern continues.

It looks like we’ll see slightly cooler conditions on Thursday as the weak upper boundary low strengthens a bit over northern Mexico… but a quick recovery will be seen on Friday and beyond.

By the weekend we will see the ridges on the west coast collapse a bit as a fast-flowing lowland approaches off the Pacific. Weather data has made this system a little tricky to deal with – right now it looks like a tree-moving cold front will arrive Sunday evening some Snow potential for the Front Range…there really isn’t a lot of confidence in this system right now.

Temperature anomaly maps comparing Sunday and Monday really tell the story:

Temperature on Sunday afternoon: Deviation from normal
Temperature on Monday afternoon: deviations from normal

Maximum temperatures range from 15-20 degrees above normal to 10-20 degrees BELOW normal.

Suffice it to say, things will probably feel very different out here beyond the weekend.

Snow prospects

I can’t really say much about that at the moment. If it were to snow, it would probably mostly fall on Monday…

The EURO ensemble data isn’t particularly impressive…and once again, the northern Front Range doesn’t seem to be getting ANYTHING going. For Denver, even an inch might be too far. In this area, it looks like the foothills in the southern I-25 corridor and some of the northern mountains of the Continental Divide have the best views… and even then, it doesn’t look crazy.

Will this be worth watching? Probably… the bigger question is whether we can see this storm intensify/consolidate. At the moment things are moving too quickly and disorganized to cause any real damage.

If anything changes, we will of course inform you about it. However, things aren’t going too badly until mid-December.

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